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FBS · · Huskie Stadium · every NCAA Division I FBS football line

UTEP Miners vs Northern Illinois Huskies prediction, odds and picks, November 27, 2026

UTEP at Northern Illinois: Bandwagon's model makes Northern Illinois a 64% favorite (Northern Illinois −5.5).

UTEP Miners vs Northern Illinois Huskies odds and win probability

UTEP · AWAYUTEPlost 7 straight
KickoffHuskie Stadium
NIU · HOMENorthern Illinoislost 9 straight

Axle gives Northern Illinois a 64% chance to win, by about 6 points.

UTEP 36%Northern Illinois 64%
Projected score23–29UTEP–Northern Illinois
Model spreadNIU −5.5UTEP +5.5
Model total51.5points
Model moneyline+177 / −177UTEP / NIU

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Who ya got · no picks yet

Hop on a side before kickoff

Pick a side, then say why in a take. Change it any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.

Why Axle has Northern Illinois

All CFB ratings
UTEP and NIU side by side
UTEPNIU
Rating1181 138th of 1381208 136th of 138
Last 5 games0-50-5
StreakL7L9
Home fieldNoYes

Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results and home advantage; last 5 results and streak are context only, not inputs.

How Axle's line has moved

Line movementNIU win chance, 4 stored lines
No move
69%58%
Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET: NIU 64%Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET: NIU 64%Nov 10, 10:43 PM ET: NIU 64%Nov 10, 10:43 PM ET: NIU 64%
Nov 9Now
Every stored line
StoredNIU winMove
Nov 10, 10:43 PM ET64%0
Nov 10, 10:43 PM ET64%0
Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET64%0
Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET64%—

UTEP Miners vs Northern Illinois Huskies prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Huskies a 5.5-point favorite at home, with a 64% chance to win. The model total is 51.5. Ratings: Huskies 1208 (136th of 138), Miners 1181 (138th). The Huskies have won 0 of their last 5; the Miners 0 of their last 5.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Form, head-to-head and injuries

Recent form

UTEP Miners

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Hawai'i Rainbow WarriorsL 14–17––matchup
at North Dakota State BisonL 7–31––matchup
vs San José State SpartansL 11–24––matchup
vs Nevada Wolf PackL 13–30––matchup
at New Mexico LobosL 7–61––matchup

Northern Illinois Huskies

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at San José State SpartansL 19–30––matchup
at UNLV RebelsL 24–31––matchup
vs Hawai'i Rainbow WarriorsL 21–56––matchup
at Wyoming CowboysL 23–41––matchup
vs Air Force FalconsL 7–28––matchup

Head-to-head

No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.

Injuries

UTEP Miners: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Northern Illinois Huskies: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Miners– 9th · L7
  • Miners rating1181 138th of 138, 8 games
  • Huskies– 10th · L9
  • Huskies rating1208 136th of 138, 8 games

More CFB games in the next 7 days

The bandwagon on each team

UTEP Miners

NCAA Division I FBS football · 9th · streak L7

–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $UTEP
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $UTEP
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $UTEP
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $UTEP: the share of the crowd ▲ on the UTEP Miners bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Miners roster, schedule and more

Northern Illinois Huskies

NCAA Division I FBS football · 10th · streak L9

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $NIU
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $NIU
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $NIU
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $NIU: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Northern Illinois Huskies bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Huskies roster, schedule and more

Takes on UTEP Miners at Northern Illinois Huskies

Sign in to post a take on $UTEPNIU261128: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.

No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.

How Axle makes this line

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:31 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · No forecast stored before kickoffforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Model: Northern Illinois 64% to win. Projected score Northern Illinois 29, UTEP 23; spread Northern Illinois −5.5, total 51.5. UTEP Miners at Northern Illinois Huskies, Sat, Nov 28, 12:00 AM ET.