North Dakota State Bison vs San José State Spartans prediction, odds and picks, November 27, 2026
North Dakota State at San José State: Bandwagon's model makes North Dakota State a 74% favorite (North Dakota State −10).
North Dakota State Bison vs San José State Spartans odds and win probability
Axle gives North Dakota State a 74% chance to win, by about 10 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has North Dakota State
All CFB ratings| NDSU | SJSU | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1568 44th of 138 | 1368 111th of 138 |
| Last 5 games | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W1 | W1 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results and home advantage; last 5 results and streak are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | SJSU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 11:52 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:52 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:43 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 26% | — |
North Dakota State Bison vs San José State Spartans prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Bison a 10-point favorite, with a 74% chance to win. The model total is 45. Ratings: Spartans 1368 (111th of 138), Bison 1568 (44th). The Spartans have won 2 of their last 5; the Bison 3 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
North Dakota State Bison
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs UTEP Miners | W 31–7 | – | – | matchup | |
| at New Mexico Lobos | L 16–21 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Nevada Wolf Pack | W 31–17 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UNLV Rebels | L 7–13 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Wyoming Cowboys | W 28–0 | – | – | matchup |
San José State Spartans
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Northern Illinois Huskies | W 30–19 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs New Mexico Lobos | L 16–21 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Nevada Wolf Pack | L 13–28 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UTEP Miners | W 24–11 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Wyoming Cowboys | L 13–16 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
North Dakota State Bison: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
San José State Spartans: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Bison– 2nd · W1
- Bison rating1568 44th of 138, 8 games
- Spartans– 6th · W1
- Spartans rating1368 111th of 138, 9 games
More CFB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I FBS football · 2nd · streak W1
No stances yet today on $NDSU: the share of the crowd ▲ on the North Dakota State Bison bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · 6th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $SJSU: the share of the crowd ▲ on the San José State Spartans bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on North Dakota State Bison at San José State Spartans
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:31 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · No forecast stored before kickoffforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: North Dakota State 74% to win. Projected score North Dakota State 28, San José State 17; spread North Dakota State −10, total 45. North Dakota State Bison at San José State Spartans, Fri, Nov 27, 3:30 PM ET.