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Atlanta Falcons vs Jacksonville Jaguars: final score and how the prediction did, October 1, 2023

Atlanta Falcons or Jacksonville Jaguars: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

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Final
Record 3-5
723
Game clock
Final
Down & distance
Final
Possession
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Atlanta Falcons at Jacksonville Jaguars win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0015:0030:0045:0060:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0030:0060:00

Bandwagon reads a game's box score only while it is on or just ended, so no in-game series was stored for this one.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Needs two stored points.
Big swing–Needs two stored points.
Clutch window–Needs two stored points.
Baseline–Needs two stored points.

Atlanta Falcons vs Jacksonville Jaguars live stats

From the league's public game summary

No box score stored for this game.

Atlanta Falcons vs Jacksonville Jaguars team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatATLJAX
ScoreATL7JAX23
Average win probabilityATL–JAX–
Longest scoring runATL–JAX–
Time leadingATL–JAX–

Atlanta Falcons vs Jacksonville Jaguars odds

Bandwagon model
Spread—
Total—
Moneyline—

No model line for this game yet; it finished before the model covered it.

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

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FalconsJaguars
Neutrals only–
FalconsJaguars
Picks locked at kickoff.
Bandwagon minus model, Jaguars–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Atlanta Falcons vs Jacksonville Jaguars prediction

Ratings: Jaguars 1640 (2nd of 32), Falcons 1454 (19th). The Jaguars are 5-2 in the AFC South; the Falcons are 3-5 in the NFC South. The Jaguars have won 4 of their last 5; the Falcons 2 of their last 5. The roster source lists 12 Jaguars and 10 Falcons players as injured.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Atlanta Falcons

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Tampa Bay BuccaneersL 0–16––matchup
vs San Francisco 49ersW 29–20––matchup
vs Chicago BearsL 23–31––matchup
vs Baltimore RavensL 23–30––matchup
at New Orleans SaintsW 45–24––matchup

Jacksonville Jaguars

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Baltimore RavensW 33–10––matchup
vs Indianapolis ColtsW 42–7––matchup
vs Houston TexansL 31–34––matchup
vs Philadelphia EaglesW 19–17––matchup
at Cincinnati BengalsW 22–17––matchup

Head-to-head

No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.

Injuries

Atlanta Falcons: Samson Ebukam DE, Trey Sermon RB, Da'Shawn Hand DT, Beaux Collins WR, JD Bertrand LB, DeAngelo Malone LB, Michael Jerrell OT, Storm Norton OT, Anterio Thompson DT, Cameron Williams OL

Jacksonville Jaguars: DaVon Hamilton DT, Caleb Ransaw S, Eric Murray S, B.J. Green II DE, Jared Bartlett LB, Garrett DiGiorgio OT, Zach Durfee DE, Anton Harrison OT, Parker Hughes LB, Devon Marshall CB, Patrick Mekari G, Sam Mustipher C

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Falcons3-5 NFC South, 3rd · L1
  • Falcons rating1454 19th of 32, 8 games
  • Jaguars5-2 AFC South, 1st · W1
  • Jaguars rating1640 2nd of 32, 8 games

Atlanta Falcons 3-5

National Football League · NFC South · 3rd · streak L1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $FALCONS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $FALCONS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $FALCONS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $FALCONS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Atlanta Falcons bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Falcons roster, schedule and more

Jacksonville Jaguars 5-2

National Football League · AFC South · 1st · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $JAGUARS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $JAGUARS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $JAGUARS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $JAGUARS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Jacksonville Jaguars bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Jaguars roster, schedule and more

Takes on Atlanta Falcons at Jacksonville Jaguars

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