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Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills: final score and how the prediction did, September 18, 2025

Miami Dolphins or Buffalo Bills: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

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Final
Record 1-6
2131
Record 6-1
Game clock
Final
Down & distance
Final
Possession
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Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0015:0030:0045:0060:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0030:0060:00

Bandwagon reads a game's box score only while it is on or just ended, so no in-game series was stored for this one.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Needs two stored points.
Big swing–Needs two stored points.
Clutch window–Needs two stored points.
Baseline–Needs two stored points.

Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills live stats

From the league's public game summary

No box score stored for this game.

Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatMIABUF
ScoreMIA21BUF31
Average win probabilityMIA–BUF–
Longest scoring runMIA–BUF–
Time leadingMIA–BUF–

Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills odds

Bandwagon model
Spread—
Total—
Moneyline—

No model line for this game yet; it finished before the model covered it.

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

DolphinsBills
Neutrals only–
DolphinsBills
Picks locked at kickoff.
Bandwagon minus model, Bills–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills prediction

Ratings: Bills 1668 (1st of 32), Dolphins 1375 (30th). The Bills are 6-1 in the AFC East; the Dolphins are 1-6 in the AFC East. The Bills have won 4 of their last 5; the Dolphins 1 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Bills won 5, the Dolphins 1. The roster source lists 4 Bills and 6 Dolphins players as injured.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Miami Dolphins

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs New England PatriotsL 19–24––matchup
at New York JetsW 28–25––matchup
vs Cincinnati BengalsL 24–31––matchup
at Minnesota VikingsL 10–15––matchup
vs Kansas City ChiefsL 10–24––matchup

Buffalo Bills

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Baltimore RavensW 36–10––matchup
at Las Vegas RaidersW 33–30––matchup
at Los Angeles RamsW 37–34––matchup
vs New England PatriotsL 26–29––matchup
vs Los Angeles ChargersW 24–16––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins13–30––matchup
Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills27–30––matchup
Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins31–10––matchup
Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins21–14––matchup
Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills20–48––matchup
Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills31–34––matchup

Injuries

Miami Dolphins: De'Von Achane RB, Ronnie Harrison Jr. LB, Darrell Baker Jr. CB, Rene Konga DT, Trey Moore LB, Cole Turner TE

Buffalo Bills: Tyrell Shavers WR, Jordan Hancock CB, Dorian Strong CB, Zane Durant DT

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Dolphins1-6 AFC East, 4th · L1
  • Dolphins rating1375 30th of 32, 7 games
  • Bills6-1 AFC East, 1st · W3
  • Bills rating1668 1st of 32, 7 games

Miami Dolphins 1-6

National Football League · AFC East · 4th · streak L1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $DOLPHINS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $DOLPHINS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $DOLPHINS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $DOLPHINS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Miami Dolphins bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Dolphins roster, schedule and more

Buffalo Bills 6-1

National Football League · AFC East · 1st · streak W3

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $BILLS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $BILLS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $BILLS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $BILLS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Buffalo Bills bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Bills roster, schedule and more

Takes on Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills

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