La Liga odds, Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026: Bandwagon's model vs Kalshi and Polymarket
Bandwagon's model has a line on 9 of 10 La Liga games Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026. Its biggest favorite is Barcelona at 87%, against Alavés; its closest game is Sevilla at Getafe, 34%–37%. Neither Kalshi nor Polymarket has a price on these games yet. Model as of Nov 1, 2:28 PM ET.
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers. How the model works · Axle 2.0 · Betting guide
La Liga Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026 slate
10 games| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Model win chance | Model spread | Model total | Kalshi | Polymarket | Crowd | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna at Sevilla | no model line yet | – | – | – | Osasuna 0, Sevilla 2 no model line | |||
| Espanyol at Villarreal | Villarreal 66% draw 21% | Villarreal −1 | 2.5 | – | – | – | Espanyol 1, Villarreal 0 model's favorite lost | |
| Atlético Madrid at Levante | Atlético Madrid 53% draw 26% | Atlético Madrid −0.5 | 3 | – | – | – | Atlético Madrid 2, Levante 0 model's favorite won | |
| Celta Vigo at Rayo Vallecano | Rayo Vallecano 40% draw 29% | even | 2.5 | – | – | – | Celta Vigo 0, Rayo Vallecano 3 model's favorite won | |
| Málaga at Real Betis | Real Betis 70% draw 18% | Real Betis −1.5 | 3 | – | – | – | Málaga 1, Real Betis 2 model's favorite won | |
| Alavés at Barcelona | Barcelona 87% draw 9% | Barcelona −2 | 3.5 | – | – | – | Alavés 1, Barcelona 6 model's favorite won | |
| Sevilla at Getafe | Getafe 37% draw 29% | even | 2.5 | – | – | – | Sevilla 1, Getafe 3 model's favorite won | |
| Real Madrid at Racing Santander | Real Madrid 70% draw 19% | Real Madrid −1 | 3.5 | – | – | – | Real Madrid 3, Racing Santander 0 model's favorite won | |
| Valencia at Elche | Elche 47% draw 28% | Elche −0.5 | 3 | – | – | – | Valencia 1, Elche 0 model's favorite lost | |
| Real Sociedad at Athletic Club | Athletic Club 42% draw 29% | even | 3 | – | – | – | Real Sociedad 1, Athletic Club 2 model's favorite won | |
Kalshi and Polymarket show their implied chance for the side the model favors (the home side where the model has no favorite), from the newest price in the last day; for a game already played, the last price before kickoff. The crowd column is Bandwagon members' picks.
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
The model's record this week
The model's favorite won 7 of 9 finished La Liga games that had a favorite (78%). Each line is the one stored before kickoff. Not counted: 1 finished game with no model line. The model's record