La Liga, early in Levante against Atlético Madrid, and the score is still 0-0 at 9'. Our model puts Levante at 21 percent to win right now, and no crowd picks are in yet, so there is nothing else to read.
LaLiga · · Estadi Ciutat de València · every La Liga line
Atlético Madrid vs Levante: final score and how the prediction did, October 31, 2026
- Final scoreAtlético Madrid 2, Levante 0 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerAtlético Madrid 53%
- Pregame Projected scoreAtlético Madrid 1.8, Levante 1.3
- Model spreadAtlético Madrid −0.5 total 3
- Margin2 projected 0.5
- Total2 projected 3
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Atlético Madrid or Levante: the bandwagon
Axle 53–21Market –
FinalPregame: LEV 34%Baseline: LEV 17.8% (−16.3)Big swing: 23.7 ptsClutch window: 17:00
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| ATM | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| LEV | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
ATM 54%LEV 46%
Atlético Madrid at Levante win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable−0.1 points for LEV over the last 10:00
Big swing23.7 ptstoward ATM at 36:00 of game time
Clutch window17:00within 1 goals in the final half
BaselineLEV 17.8%game average, −16.3 points from the pregame 34.1%
Atlético Madrid vs Levante live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | ATM | LEV |
|---|---|---|
| Possession | ATM54% | LEV46% |
| Shots | ATM11 | LEV20 |
| Shots on target | ATM5 | LEV4 |
| Corners | ATM3 | LEV5 |
| Passes completed | ATM496/563 | LEV387/449 |
| Saves | ATM4 | LEV3 |
| Fouls | ATM7 | LEV7 |
| Offsides | ATM5 | LEV1 |
| Yellow cards | ATM0 | LEV0 |
| Red cards | ATM0 | LEV0 |
Atlético Madrid vs Levante team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | ATM | LEV |
|---|---|---|
| Score | ATM2 | LEV0 |
| Average win probability | ATM82% | LEV18% |
| Longest scoring run | ATM+2 | LEV+0 |
| Time leading | ATM54:00 | LEV0:00 |
Atlético Madrid vs Levante odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET
Atlético Madrid53%
Win chanceLevante21%
SpreadATM −0.5closing model spread
Total3
Moneyline−112away / +283draw / +374homeaway / draw / home
Line movementLEV win chance, 7 stored lines
No move
27%15%
Oct 29Oct 30Oct 31
Every stored line
| Stored | LEV win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 5:55 PM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 1:03 AM ET | 21% | — |
- Ratings
- LEV 1396 · ATM 1560
- Home spread
- +0.5
- Stored
- Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET · 2026-10-31 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Atlético Madrid 2, Levante 0. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In La Liga a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:33 PM UTC
- Weather in the data, not usedforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts · read Oct 31, 11:30 AM UTC
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
Atlético MadridLevante
Neutrals only–
Atlético MadridLevante
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Levante–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Atlético Madrid vs Levante prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Atlético Madrid a 0.5-point favorite, with a 53% chance to win and a 26% chance of a draw. The model total is 3. Ratings: Levante 1385 (17th of 20), Atlético Madrid 1571 (3rd). The Levante are 2-5-4; the Atlético Madrid are 9-1-1. The Levante have won 1 of their last 5; the Atlético Madrid 3 of their last 5. The two have met 2 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Levante won 0, the Atlético Madrid 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Atlético Madrid
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Bayern Munich | L 0–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Levante | W 2–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Deportivo | W 1–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| at VfB Stuttgart | T 1–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Espanyol | W 1–0 | – | – | matchup |
Levante
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Atlético Madrid | L 0–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Real Sociedad | L 1–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Athletic Club | W 3–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Deportivo | T 1–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Sevilla | T 3–3 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Madrid at Levante | 0–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| Levante at Atlético Madrid | 1–3 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Atlético Madrid: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Levante: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Atlético Madrid9-1-1 2nd
- Atlético Madrid rating1571 3rd of 20, 11 games
- Levante2-5-4 18th
- Levante rating1385 17th of 20, 11 games
Atlético Madrid 9-1-1
La Liga · 2nd
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $ATLETICO
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $ATLETICO
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $ATLETICO
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $ATLETICO: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Atlético Madrid bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Levante 2-5-4
La Liga · 18th
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $LEVANTE
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $LEVANTE
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $LEVANTE
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $LEVANTE: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Levante bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Atlético Madrid at Levante
Sign in to post a take on $ATLETICOLEVANTE261031: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
Final: Atlético Madrid 2, Levante 0. Bandwagon's model had the Atlético Madrid at 53% and projected Atlético Madrid 1.8, Levante 1.3; spread Atlético Madrid −0.5, total 3.