Racing Santander and Real Madrid are level 0-0 in the 6th minute, and the model gives the home side 12 percent. No crowd picks are in yet, so there is no crowd read to set against it.
LaLiga · · Campos de Sport de El Sardinero · every La Liga line
Real Madrid vs Racing Santander: final score and how the prediction did, November 1, 2026
- Final scoreReal Madrid 3, Racing Santander 0 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerReal Madrid 70%
- Pregame Projected scoreReal Madrid 2.3, Racing Santander 1.3
- Model spreadReal Madrid −1 total 3.5
- Margin3 projected 1
- Total3 projected 3.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Real Madrid or Racing Santander: the bandwagon
Bandwagon
Be the first on the bandwagon
Axle 70–12Market –
FinalPregame: RAC 21%Baseline: RAC 4.4% (−16.6)Big swing: 13.6 ptsClutch window: none
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| RMA | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| RAC | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
RMA 53.6%RAC 46.4%
Real Madrid at Racing Santander win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable+0.0 points for RAC over the last 10:00
Big swing13.6 ptstoward RMA at 12:00 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 1 goals in the final half
BaselineRAC 4.4%game average, −16.6 points from the pregame 21.0%
Real Madrid vs Racing Santander live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | RMA | RAC |
|---|---|---|
| Possession | RMA53.6% | RAC46.4% |
| Shots | RMA22 | RAC10 |
| Shots on target | RMA7 | RAC1 |
| Corners | RMA6 | RAC4 |
| Passes completed | RMA471/529 | RAC389/458 |
| Saves | RMA1 | RAC5 |
| Fouls | RMA8 | RAC10 |
| Offsides | RMA2 | RAC0 |
| Yellow cards | RMA0 | RAC2 |
| Red cards | RMA0 | RAC0 |
Real Madrid vs Racing Santander team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | RMA | RAC |
|---|---|---|
| Score | RMA3 | RAC0 |
| Average win probability | RMA96% | RAC4% |
| Longest scoring run | RMA+3 | RAC+0 |
| Time leading | RMA78:00 | RAC0:00 |
Real Madrid vs Racing Santander odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 1, 10:04 AM ET
Real Madrid70%
Win chanceRacing Santander12%
SpreadRMA −1closing model spread
Total3.5
Moneyline−229away / +433draw / +763homeaway / draw / home
Line movementRAC win chance, 11 stored lines
No move
18%6%
Oct 29Oct 30Nov 1
Every stored line
| Stored | RAC win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 10:04 AM ET | 12% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 10:04 AM ET | 12% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:03 AM ET | 12% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 1:16 PM ET | 12% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 10:56 AM ET | 12% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 12% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 5:55 PM ET | 12% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 12% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 12% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 12% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 1:03 AM ET | 12% | — |
- Ratings
- RAC 1377 · RMA 1643
- Home spread
- +1
- Stored
- Nov 1, 10:04 AM ET · 2026-11-01 15:04 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Real Madrid 3, Racing Santander 0. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In La Liga a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:33 PM UTC
- Weather in the data, not usedforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts · read Nov 1, 2:58 PM UTC
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
Real MadridRacing Santander
Neutrals only–
Real MadridRacing Santander
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Racing Santander–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Real Madrid vs Racing Santander prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Real Madrid a 1-point favorite, with a 70% chance to win and a 19% chance of a draw. The model total is 3.5. Ratings: Racing Santander 1368 (18th of 20), Real Madrid 1651 (2nd). The Racing Santander are 3-6-2; the Real Madrid are 9-2. The Racing Santander have won 1 of their last 5; the Real Madrid 5 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Real Madrid
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Racing Santander | W 3–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Barcelona | W 2–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs RB Leipzig | W 4–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Sevilla | W 4–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| at AS Roma | W 4–3 | – | – | matchup |
Racing Santander
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Real Madrid | L 0–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Espanyol | W 2–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Osasuna | L 0–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Valencia | T 2–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Celta Vigo | L 0–5 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Real Madrid: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Racing Santander: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Real Madrid9-2 3rd
- Real Madrid rating1651 2nd of 20, 11 games
- Racing Santander3-6-2 16th
- Racing Santander rating1368 18th of 20, 11 games
Real Madrid 9-2
La Liga · 3rd
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $REALMADRID
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $REALMADRID
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $REALMADRID
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $REALMADRID: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Real Madrid bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Racing Santander 3-6-2
La Liga · 16th
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $RACING
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $RACING
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $RACING
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $RACING: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Racing Santander bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Real Madrid at Racing Santander
Sign in to post a take on $REALMADRIDRACING261101: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
Final: Real Madrid 3, Racing Santander 0. Bandwagon's model had the Real Madrid at 70% and projected Real Madrid 2.3, Racing Santander 1.3; spread Real Madrid −1, total 3.5.