UAB Blazers vs North Texas Mean Green prediction, odds and picks, November 27, 2026
UAB at North Texas: Bandwagon's model makes North Texas an 87% favorite (North Texas −18.5).
UAB Blazers vs North Texas Mean Green odds and win probability
Axle gives North Texas a 87% chance to win, by about 19 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has North Texas
All CFB ratings| UAB | UNT | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1411 101st of 138 | 1626 27th of 138 |
| Last 5 games | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | W1 | W6 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 1 | 2 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results and home advantage; last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | UNT win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 11:52 PM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:52 PM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:43 PM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 87% | — |
UAB Blazers vs North Texas Mean Green prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Mean Green a 18.5-point favorite at home, with a 87% chance to win. The model total is 57.5. Ratings: Mean Green 1626 (27th of 138), Blazers 1411 (101st). The Mean Green have won 5 of their last 5; the Blazers 3 of their last 5. The two have met 3 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Mean Green won 2, the Blazers 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
UAB Blazers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Charlotte 49ers | W 23–12 | – | – | matchup | |
| at South Florida Bulls | L 10–30 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs East Carolina Pirates | W 30–17 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Memphis Tigers | L 13–38 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Navy Midshipmen | W 24–20 | – | – | matchup |
North Texas Mean Green
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Rice Owls | W 52–23 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Florida Atlantic Owls | W 48–41 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Navy Midshipmen | W 49–39 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Charlotte 49ers | W 50–10 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Tulsa Golden Hurricane | W 45–44 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Texas Mean Green at UAB Blazers | 53–24 | – | – | matchup | |
| UAB Blazers at North Texas Mean Green | 42–45 | – | – | matchup | |
| North Texas Mean Green at UAB Blazers | 21–41 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
UAB Blazers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
North Texas Mean Green: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Blazers– 7th · W1
- Blazers rating1411 101st of 138, 8 games
- Mean Green– 1st · W6
- Mean Green rating1626 27th of 138, 8 games
More CFB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I FBS football · 7th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $UAB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the UAB Blazers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · 1st · streak W6
No stances yet today on $UNT: the share of the crowd ▲ on the North Texas Mean Green bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on UAB Blazers at North Texas Mean Green
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · A previous venue or its coordinates is not storeddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · No forecast stored before kickoffforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: North Texas 87% to win. Projected score North Texas 38, UAB 19; spread North Texas −18.5, total 57.5. UAB Blazers at North Texas Mean Green, Sat, Nov 28, 12:00 AM ET.