Duke Blue Devils vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons prediction, odds and picks, November 28, 2026
Duke at Wake Forest: Bandwagon's model makes Wake Forest a 58% favorite (Wake Forest −3.5).
Duke Blue Devils vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons odds and win probability
Axle gives Wake Forest a 58% chance to win, by about 3 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Wake Forest
All CFB ratings| DUKE | WAKE | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1670 18th of 138 | 1664 20th of 138 |
| Last 5 games | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | W3 | W6 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 4 | 0 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results and home advantage; last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | WAKE win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 11:52 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:52 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:43 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 58% | — |
Duke Blue Devils vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Demon Deacons a 3.5-point favorite at home, with a 58% chance to win. The model total is 51.5. Ratings: Demon Deacons 1664 (20th of 138), Blue Devils 1670 (18th). The Demon Deacons have won 5 of their last 5; the Blue Devils 3 of their last 5. The two have met 4 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Demon Deacons won 0, the Blue Devils 4.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Duke Blue Devils
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at NC State Wolfpack | W 41–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Boston College Eagles | W 47–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Virginia Cavaliers | W 19–16 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs North Carolina Tar Heels | L 20–24 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | L 25–28 | – | – | matchup |
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Virginia Cavaliers | W 51–7 | – | – | matchup | |
| at California Golden Bears | W 41–7 | – | – | matchup | |
| at NC State Wolfpack | W 38–14 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Stanford Cardinal | W 57–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Louisville Cardinals | W 30–27 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wake Forest Demon Deacons at Duke Blue Devils | 32–49 | – | – | matchup | |
| Duke Blue Devils at Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 23–17 | – | – | matchup | |
| Wake Forest Demon Deacons at Duke Blue Devils | 21–24 | – | – | matchup | |
| Wake Forest Demon Deacons at Duke Blue Devils | 31–34 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Duke Blue Devils: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Wake Forest Demon Deacons: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Blue Devils– 4th · W3
- Blue Devils rating1670 18th of 138, 8 games
- Demon Deacons– 2nd · W6
- Demon Deacons rating1664 20th of 138, 8 games
More CFB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I FBS football · 4th · streak W3
No stances yet today on $DUKE: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Duke Blue Devils bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · 2nd · streak W6
No stances yet today on $WAKE: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Duke Blue Devils at Wake Forest Demon Deacons
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · No venue coordinates stored for the home sidedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · No forecast stored before kickoffforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Wake Forest 58% to win. Projected score Wake Forest 27, Duke 24; spread Wake Forest −3.5, total 51.5. Duke Blue Devils at Wake Forest Demon Deacons, Sat, Nov 28, 12:00 AM ET.