Georgia State Panthers vs Charlotte 49ers prediction, odds and picks, November 5, 2026
- Projected winnerCharlotte 77%
- Projected scoreCharlotte 78, Georgia State 68
- Model spreadCharlotte −9 total 146
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Georgia State Panthers or Charlotte 49ers: the bandwagon
Axle 23–77Market –
Georgia State Panthers at Charlotte 49ers win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Georgia State Panthers vs Charlotte 49ers live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Georgia State Panthers vs Charlotte 49ers team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | GAST | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| Score | GAST– | CLT– |
| Average win probability | GAST– | CLT– |
| Longest scoring run | GAST– | CLT– |
| Time leading | GAST– | CLT– |
Georgia State Panthers vs Charlotte 49ers odds
Every stored line
| Stored | CLT win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 12:11 AM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 5, 12:11 AM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 9:40 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 12:25 AM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:28 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:33 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 2:23 AM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:19 AM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:10 AM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:40 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:19 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:51 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:27 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:07 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 77% | +2 |
| Nov 2, 8:31 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:16 PM ET | 75% | +1 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:08 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:05 AM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:25 AM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 74% | −3 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 77% | +12 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 65% | — |
- Ratings
- CLT 1495 · GAST 1397
- Home spread
- −9
- Stored
- Nov 5, 12:11 AM ET · 2026-11-05 05:11 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Georgia State Panthers vs Charlotte 49ers prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the 49ers a 9-point favorite at home, with a 77% chance to win. The model total is 146. Ratings: 49ers 1495 (186th of 361), Panthers 1397 (323rd). The 49ers are 1-0; the Panthers are 0-1. The 49ers have won 3 of their last 5; the Panthers 0 of their last 5. The two have met 2 times in Bandwagon's results history; the 49ers won 2, the Panthers 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Georgia State Panthers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Bowling Green Falcons | L 73–76 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | L 75–84 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Old Dominion Monarchs | L 73–81 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | L 71–76 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs James Madison Dukes | L 65–80 | – | – | matchup |
Charlotte 49ers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Indiana State Sycamores | W 78–70 | – | – | matchup | |
| at South Florida Bulls | L 64–86 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UAB Blazers | W 83–78 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Tulane Green Wave | W 74–60 | – | – | matchup | |
| at South Florida Bulls | L 60–83 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte 49ers at Georgia State Panthers | 77–63 | – | – | matchup | |
| Georgia State Panthers at Charlotte 49ers | 57–65 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Georgia State Panthers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Charlotte 49ers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Panthers0-1 9th · L1
- Panthers rating1397 323rd of 361, 1 games
- 49ers1-0 1st · W1
- 49ers rating1495 186th of 361, 1 games
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 9th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $GASTMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Georgia State Panthers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Charlotte 49ers 1-0
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 1st · streak W1
No stances yet today on $CLTMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Charlotte 49ers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
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Model: Charlotte 77% to win. Projected score Charlotte 78, Georgia State 68; spread Charlotte −9, total 146. Georgia State Panthers at Charlotte 49ers, Thu, Nov 5, 7:00 PM ET.