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NCAA Women's Basketball · · Breslin Student Events Center · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line

Illinois Fighting Illini vs Michigan State Spartans: final score and how the prediction did, March 5, 2026

Illinois Fighting Illini or Michigan State Spartans: the bandwagon

Bandwagon1 on the bandwagon so far

Be the first on the bandwagon

Fighting Illini▲ Hop on▼ Jump off

Axle no line yetMarket –

Final
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Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
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Illinois Fighting Illini at Michigan State Spartans win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0010:0020:0030:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

Bandwagon reads a game's box score only while it is on or just ended, so no in-game series was stored for this one.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Needs two stored points.
Big swing–Needs two stored points.
Clutch window–Needs two stored points.
Baseline–Needs two stored points.

Illinois Fighting Illini vs Michigan State Spartans live stats

From the league's public game summary

No box score stored for this game.

Illinois Fighting Illini vs Michigan State Spartans team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatILLMSU
ScoreILL71MSU69
Average win probabilityILL–MSU–
Longest scoring runILL–MSU–
Time leadingILL–MSU–

Illinois Fighting Illini vs Michigan State Spartans odds

Bandwagon model
Spread—
Total—
Moneyline—

No model line for this game yet; it finished before the model covered it.

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

Fighting IlliniSpartans
Neutrals only–
Fighting IlliniSpartans
Picks locked at kickoff.
Bandwagon minus model, Spartans–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Illinois Fighting Illini vs Michigan State Spartans prediction

Ratings: Spartans 1663 (32nd of 356), Fighting Illini 1639 (47th). The Spartans are 1-0; the Fighting Illini are 0-0. The Spartans have won 2 of their last 5; the Fighting Illini 3 of their last 5. The two have met 4 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Spartans won 3, the Fighting Illini 1.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Illinois Fighting Illini

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Detroit Mercy TitansW 84–50––matchup
at Vanderbilt CommodoresL 57–75––matchup
vs Colorado BuffaloesW 66–57––matchup
at Iowa HawkeyesL 58–64––matchup
at Michigan State SpartansW 71–69––matchup

Michigan State Spartans

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Valparaiso BeaconsW 98–44––matchup
at Oklahoma SoonersL 71–77––matchup
vs Colorado State RamsW 65–62––matchup
vs Illinois Fighting IlliniL 69–71––matchup
vs Ohio State BuckeyesL 68–87––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
Illinois Fighting Illini at Michigan State Spartans75–81––matchup
Michigan State Spartans at Illinois Fighting Illini86–68––matchup
Illinois Fighting Illini at Michigan State Spartans70–87––matchup
Michigan State Spartans at Illinois Fighting Illini76–86––matchup

Injuries

Illinois Fighting Illini: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Michigan State Spartans: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Fighting Illini0-0 16th · -
  • Fighting Illini rating1639 47th of 356, 0 games
  • Spartans1-0 3rd · W1
  • Spartans rating1663 32nd of 356, 1 games

Illinois Fighting Illini 0-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 16th · streak -

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Be the first on the bandwagon1 stance so far today on $ILLWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $ILLWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagon1 stance so far today on $ILLWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

1 stance today on $ILLWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Illinois Fighting Illini bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Fighting Illini roster, schedule and more

Michigan State Spartans 1-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 3rd · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $MSUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $MSUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $MSUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $MSUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Michigan State Spartans bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Spartans roster, schedule and more

Takes on Illinois Fighting Illini at Michigan State Spartans

Sign in to post a take on $ILLWBBMSUWBB260305: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.

No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.

Final: Illinois 71, Michigan State 69. Illinois Fighting Illini at Michigan State Spartans at Breslin Student Events Center: form, head-to-head and the crowd's pick.