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NCAA Women's Basketball · · Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line

Brown Bears vs UMBC Retrievers: final score and how the prediction did, November 16, 2025

Brown Bears or UMBC Retrievers: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

Be the first on the bandwagon

Axle no line yetMarket –

Final
Record 0-1
5654
Record 1-0
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
–

Brown Bears at UMBC Retrievers win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0010:0020:0030:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

Bandwagon reads a game's box score only while it is on or just ended, so no in-game series was stored for this one.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Needs two stored points.
Big swing–Needs two stored points.
Clutch window–Needs two stored points.
Baseline–Needs two stored points.

Brown Bears vs UMBC Retrievers live stats

From the league's public game summary

No box score stored for this game.

Brown Bears vs UMBC Retrievers team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatBRWNUMBC
ScoreBRWN56UMBC54
Average win probabilityBRWN–UMBC–
Longest scoring runBRWN–UMBC–
Time leadingBRWN–UMBC–

Brown Bears vs UMBC Retrievers odds

Bandwagon model
Spread—
Total—
Moneyline—

No model line for this game yet; it finished before the model covered it.

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

BearsRetrievers
Neutrals only–
BearsRetrievers
Picks locked at kickoff.
Bandwagon minus model, Retrievers–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Brown Bears vs UMBC Retrievers prediction

Ratings: Retrievers 1507 (161st of 356), Bears 1483 (192nd). The Retrievers are 1-0; the Bears are 0-1. The Retrievers have won 3 of their last 5; the Bears 0 of their last 5.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Brown Bears

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Army Black KnightsL 56–81––matchup
at Siena SaintsL 71–82––matchup
at Princeton TigersL 51–65––matchup
at Pennsylvania QuakersL 56–69––matchup
vs Columbia LionsL 56–59––matchup

UMBC Retrievers

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Mount St. Mary's MountaineersW 79–53––matchup
at Marshall Thundering HerdL 53–66––matchup
at Ohio BobcatsW 62–58––matchup
at Vermont CatamountsL 65–68––matchup
vs NJIT HighlandersW 66–65––matchup

Head-to-head

No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.

Injuries

Brown Bears: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

UMBC Retrievers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Bears0-1 6th · L1
  • Bears rating1483 192nd of 356, 2 games
  • Retrievers1-0 5th · W1
  • Retrievers rating1507 161st of 356, 1 games

Brown Bears 0-1

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 6th · streak L1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $BRWNWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $BRWNWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $BRWNWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $BRWNWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Brown Bears bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Bears roster, schedule and more

UMBC Retrievers 1-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 5th · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $UMBCWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $UMBCWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $UMBCWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $UMBCWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the UMBC Retrievers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Retrievers roster, schedule and more

Takes on Brown Bears at UMBC Retrievers

Sign in to post a take on $BRWNWBBUMBCWBB251116: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.

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