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NCAA Women's Basketball · · The Pit · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line

Air Force Falcons vs New Mexico Lobos: final score and how the prediction did, February 21, 2026

Air Force Falcons or New Mexico Lobos: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

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Axle no line yetMarket –

Final
Record 1-0
5373
Record 0-1
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
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Air Force Falcons at New Mexico Lobos win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0010:0020:0030:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

Bandwagon reads a game's box score only while it is on or just ended, so no in-game series was stored for this one.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Needs two stored points.
Big swing–Needs two stored points.
Clutch window–Needs two stored points.
Baseline–Needs two stored points.

Air Force Falcons vs New Mexico Lobos live stats

From the league's public game summary

No box score stored for this game.

Air Force Falcons vs New Mexico Lobos team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatAFUNM
ScoreAF53UNM73
Average win probabilityAF–UNM–
Longest scoring runAF–UNM–
Time leadingAF–UNM–

Air Force Falcons vs New Mexico Lobos odds

Bandwagon model
Spread—
Total—
Moneyline—

No model line for this game yet; it finished before the model covered it.

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

FalconsLobos
Neutrals only–
FalconsLobos
Picks locked at kickoff.
Bandwagon minus model, Lobos–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Air Force Falcons vs New Mexico Lobos prediction

Ratings: Lobos 1552 (120th of 356), Falcons 1472 (204th). The Lobos are 0-1; the Falcons are 1-0. The Lobos have won 3 of their last 5; the Falcons 3 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Lobos won 6, the Falcons 0.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Air Force Falcons

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Denver PioneersW 66–45––matchup
vs Northern Colorado BearsL 72–79––matchup
at Colorado State RamsL 42–56––matchup
at Boise State BroncosW 68–66––matchup
at San Diego State AztecsW 83–76––matchup

New Mexico Lobos

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Seattle U RedhawksL 62–63––matchup
vs Boise State BroncosL 61–62––matchup
vs Fresno State BulldogsW 86–64––matchup
at Nevada Wolf PackW 63–56––matchup
at Utah State AggiesW 69–54––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
New Mexico Lobos at Air Force Falcons74–57––matchup
Air Force Falcons at New Mexico Lobos74–77––matchup
New Mexico Lobos at Air Force Falcons69–63––matchup
New Mexico Lobos at Air Force Falcons66–51––matchup
New Mexico Lobos at Air Force Falcons70–65––matchup
Air Force Falcons at New Mexico Lobos58–70––matchup

Injuries

Air Force Falcons: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

New Mexico Lobos: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Falcons1-0 1st · W1
  • Falcons rating1472 204th of 356, 1 games
  • Lobos0-1 6th · L1
  • Lobos rating1552 120th of 356, 1 games

Air Force Falcons 1-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 1st · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $AFWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $AFWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $AFWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $AFWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Air Force Falcons bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Falcons roster, schedule and more

New Mexico Lobos 0-1

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 6th · streak L1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $UNMWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $UNMWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $UNMWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $UNMWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the New Mexico Lobos bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Lobos roster, schedule and more

Takes on Air Force Falcons at New Mexico Lobos

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