Denver Pioneers vs Air Force Falcons: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreDenver 45, Air Force 66 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerAir Force 71%
- Pregame Projected scoreAir Force 70, Denver 61
- Model spreadAir Force −9 total 130.5
- Margin21 projected 8.9
- Total111 projected 130.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Denver Pioneers or Air Force Falcons: the bandwagon
Axle 29–71Market –
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DEN | 11 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 45 |
| AF | 12 | 15 | 20 | 19 | 66 |
Denver Pioneers at Air Force Falcons win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Denver Pioneers vs Air Force Falcons live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | DEN | AF |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | DEN15/49 | AF25/67 |
| 3-pointers | DEN1/12 | AF6/20 |
| Free throws | DEN14/22 | AF10/11 |
| Rebounds | DEN34 | AF45 |
| Assists | DEN8 | AF10 |
| Turnovers | DEN18 | AF13 |
| Steals | DEN2 | AF11 |
| Blocks | DEN7 | AF2 |
| Points in the paint | DEN28 | AF34 |
| Fast-break points | DEN4 | AF8 |
| Fouls | DEN17 | AF27 |
| Largest lead | DEN2 | AF21 |
Denver Pioneers vs Air Force Falcons team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | DEN | AF |
|---|---|---|
| Score | DEN45 | AF66 |
| Average win probability | DEN11% | AF89% |
| Longest scoring run | DEN+3 | AF+3 |
| Time leading | DEN0:00 | AF13:12 |
Denver Pioneers vs Air Force Falcons odds
Every stored line
| Stored | AF win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:26 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:01 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:51 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:06 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 4:58 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:17 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 2:05 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:16 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:11 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 12:31 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 71% | −3 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 74% | +11 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 63% | — |
- Ratings
- AF 1458 · DEN 1402
- Home spread
- −9
- Stored
- Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET · 2026-11-03 02:36 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Denver Pioneers 45, Air Force Falcons 66. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Denver Pioneers vs Air Force Falcons prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Falcons a 9-point favorite at home, with a 71% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Falcons 1472 (204th of 356), Pioneers 1388 (292nd). The Falcons are 1-0; the Pioneers are 0-1. The Falcons have won 3 of their last 5; the Pioneers 2 of their last 5. The two have met 3 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Falcons won 3, the Pioneers 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Denver Pioneers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Air Force Falcons | L 45–66 | – | – | matchup | |
| at South Dakota Coyotes | L 50–61 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Omaha Mavericks | W 71–50 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs South Dakota State Jackrabbits | L 55–71 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Kansas City Roos | W 79–63 | – | – | matchup |
Air Force Falcons
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Denver Pioneers | W 66–45 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Northern Colorado Bears | L 72–79 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Colorado State Rams | L 42–56 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Boise State Broncos | W 68–66 | – | – | matchup | |
| at San Diego State Aztecs | W 83–76 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force Falcons at Denver Pioneers | 59–50 | – | – | matchup | |
| Denver Pioneers at Air Force Falcons | 63–65 | – | – | matchup | |
| Air Force Falcons at Denver Pioneers | 67–63 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Denver Pioneers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Air Force Falcons: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Pioneers0-1 9th · L1
- Pioneers rating1388 292nd of 356, 1 games
- Falcons1-0 1st · W1
- Falcons rating1472 204th of 356, 1 games
Denver Pioneers 0-1
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 9th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $DENWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Denver Pioneers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 1st · streak W1
No stances yet today on $AFWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Air Force Falcons bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
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