Minnesota Wild vs Vancouver Canucks prediction market odds: Kalshi, Polymarket and the Bandwagon model
Wild at Canucks: Bandwagon's model makes the Wild a 72% favorite (Wild −1).
Minnesota Wild vs Vancouver Canucks model odds and win probability
Axle gives the Wild a 72% chance to win, by about 1.2 goals.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Axle versus the markets and the crowd
Every NHL marketEach bar is the chance that the Wild win. The thin blue mark is Axle's 72%.
The largest gap is 4 points: Axle has the Wild at 72%, Polymarket at 68%.
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Hop on a side before puck drop
Pick a side, then say why in a take. Change it any time before puck drop. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Why Axle has the Wild
All NHL ratings| MIN | VAN | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1556 4th of 32 | 1375 32nd of 32 |
| Record | 13-3-4 | 3-16-1 |
| Last 5 games | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | W1 | L6 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 4 | 2 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results and home advantage; record, last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | VAN win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET | 28% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET | 28% | −1 |
| Nov 10, 9:48 PM ET | 29% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 29% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 1:02 AM ET | 29% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 12:12 AM ET | 29% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:53 PM ET | 29% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 29% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 9:58 PM ET | 29% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 9:53 PM ET | 29% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 8:43 PM ET | 29% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 29% | — |
Wild vs Canucks odds on Polymarket
Every NHL marketPolymarket prices the Wild at 68%, and Axle 2.0 gives them 72%.
Prices read: Polymarket ; Axle 2.0 .
| Source | MIN | VAN | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 68% | 32% | ||
| Bandwagon model | 72% | 28% | · model 2.0 |
Ad · Bandwagon earns a commission: Trade on Kalshi (opens a new tab). 18+. Trading carries a risk of loss. Check your state. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Minnesota Wild vs Vancouver Canucks prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Wild a 1-point favorite, with a 72% chance to win. The model total is 6. Ratings: Canucks 1375 (32nd of 32), Wild 1556 (4th). The Canucks are 3-16-1 in the Pacific Division; the Wild are 13-3-4 in the Central Division. The Canucks have won 0 of their last 5; the Wild 4 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Canucks won 2, the Wild 4.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Minnesota Wild
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Montreal Canadiens | W 2–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Tampa Bay Lightning | L 3–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs San Jose Sharks | W 4–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Philadelphia Flyers | W 4–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Washington Capitals | W 5–1 | – | – | matchup |
Vancouver Canucks
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Philadelphia Flyers | L 1–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Edmonton Oilers | L 2–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Winnipeg Jets | L 2–6 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Anaheim Ducks | L 4–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Toronto Maple Leafs | L 2–4 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Wild at Vancouver Canucks | 4–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| Vancouver Canucks at Minnesota Wild | 2–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| Minnesota Wild at Vancouver Canucks | 2–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| Vancouver Canucks at Minnesota Wild | 2–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| Minnesota Wild at Vancouver Canucks | 3–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| Minnesota Wild at Vancouver Canucks | 1–3 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Minnesota Wild: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Vancouver Canucks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Wild13-3-4 Central Division, 1st · W1
- Wild rating1556 4th of 32, 19 games
- Canucks3-16-1 Pacific Division, 8th · L6
- Canucks rating1375 32nd of 32, 20 games
More NHL games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
Minnesota Wild 13-3-4
National Hockey League · Central Division · 1st · streak W1
No stances yet today on $WILD: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Minnesota Wild bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Vancouver Canucks 3-16-1
National Hockey League · Pacific Division · 8th · streak L6
No stances yet today on $CANUCKS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Vancouver Canucks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Minnesota Wild at Vancouver Canucks
Sign in to post a take on $WILDCANUCKS261122: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.
How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In National Hockey League a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:33 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Wild 72% to win. Projected score Wild 3.6, Canucks 2.4; spread Wild −1, total 6. Polymarket 68% for the Wild. Minnesota Wild at Vancouver Canucks, Sat, Nov 21, 10:00 PM ET.