Vancouver Canucks vs Seattle Kraken prediction market odds: Kalshi, Polymarket and the Bandwagon model
Canucks at Kraken: Bandwagon's model makes the Kraken a 66% favorite (Kraken −1).
Vancouver Canucks vs Seattle Kraken model odds and win probability
Axle gives the Kraken a 66% chance to win, by about 1 goal.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Axle versus the markets and the crowd
Every NHL marketEach bar is the chance that the Kraken win. The thin blue mark is Axle's 66%.
The largest gap is 1 point: Polymarket has the Kraken at 67%, Axle at 66%.
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Hop on a side before puck drop
Pick a side, then say why in a take. Change it any time before puck drop. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Why Axle has the Kraken
All NHL ratings| VAN | SEA | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1375 32nd of 32 | 1467 26th of 32 |
| Record | 3-16-1 | 9-6-1 |
| Last 5 games | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 2 | 4 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results and home advantage; record, last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | SEA win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 9:48 PM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:48 PM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 1:02 AM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 12:12 AM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:53 PM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 9:58 PM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 9:53 PM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 8:43 PM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 12:47 AM ET | 66% | +1 |
| Nov 7, 11:47 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 11:42 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 10:52 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 10:32 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 10:05 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:55 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:45 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:39 PM ET | 65% | −1 |
| Nov 7, 3:40 PM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 10:49 PM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 10:44 PM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 5:03 AM ET | 66% | — |
Canucks vs Kraken odds on Polymarket
Every NHL marketPolymarket prices the Kraken at 67%, and Axle 2.0 gives them 66%.
Prices read: Polymarket ; Axle 2.0 .
| Source | VAN | SEA | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 33% | 67% | ||
| Bandwagon model | 34% | 66% | · model 2.0 |
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Vancouver Canucks vs Seattle Kraken prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Kraken a 1-point favorite at home, with a 66% chance to win. The model total is 7. Ratings: Kraken 1467 (26th of 32), Canucks 1375 (32nd). The Kraken are 9-6-1 in the Pacific Division; the Canucks are 3-16-1 in the Pacific Division. The Kraken have won 2 of their last 5; the Canucks 0 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Kraken won 4, the Canucks 2.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Vancouver Canucks
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Philadelphia Flyers | L 1–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Edmonton Oilers | L 2–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Winnipeg Jets | L 2–6 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Anaheim Ducks | L 4–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Toronto Maple Leafs | L 2–4 | – | – | matchup |
Seattle Kraken
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs New York Rangers | L 3–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Calgary Flames | W 2–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Calgary Flames | L 2–6 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Toronto Maple Leafs | W 5–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Minnesota Wild | L 1–5 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Kraken at Vancouver Canucks | 3–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| Vancouver Canucks at Seattle Kraken | 2–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| Seattle Kraken at Vancouver Canucks | 5–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| Vancouver Canucks at Seattle Kraken | 1–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| Seattle Kraken at Vancouver Canucks | 4–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| Vancouver Canucks at Seattle Kraken | 3–2 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Vancouver Canucks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Seattle Kraken: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Canucks3-16-1 Pacific Division, 8th · L6
- Canucks rating1375 32nd of 32, 20 games
- Kraken9-6-1 Pacific Division, 4th · L1
- Kraken rating1467 26th of 32, 16 games
More NHL games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
Vancouver Canucks 3-16-1
National Hockey League · Pacific Division · 8th · streak L6
No stances yet today on $CANUCKS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Vancouver Canucks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Seattle Kraken 9-6-1
National Hockey League · Pacific Division · 4th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $KRAKEN: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Seattle Kraken bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Vancouver Canucks at Seattle Kraken
Sign in to post a take on $CANUCKSKRAKEN261120: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In National Hockey League a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · A previous venue or its coordinates is not storeddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Kraken 66% to win. Projected score Kraken 4.0, Canucks 3.0; spread Kraken −1, total 7. Polymarket 67% for the Kraken. Vancouver Canucks at Seattle Kraken, Thu, Nov 19, 9:40 PM ET.