St. Louis Blues vs Pittsburgh Penguins prediction market odds: Kalshi, Polymarket and the Bandwagon model
Blues at Penguins: Bandwagon's model has this one even.
St. Louis Blues vs Pittsburgh Penguins model odds and win probability
Axle has this one even: Blues 49%, Penguins 51%.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Axle versus the markets and the crowd
Every NHL marketEach bar is the chance that the Penguins win. The thin blue mark is Axle's 51%.
The largest gap is 2 points: Axle has the Penguins at 51%, Polymarket at 49%.
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Hop on a side before puck drop
Pick a side, then say why in a take. Change it any time before puck drop. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
How the two sides compare
All NHL ratings| STL | PIT | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1498 16th of 32 | 1483 21st of 32 |
| Record | 8-8-2 | 6-10-2 |
| Last 5 games | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 3 | 3 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results and home advantage; record, last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | PIT win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 10:53 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:53 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:48 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 1:02 AM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 12:12 AM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:53 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 10:42 PM ET | 51% | −1 |
| Nov 8, 9:58 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 9:53 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 8:43 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 12:47 AM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 11:47 PM ET | 52% | +1 |
| Nov 7, 11:42 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 10:52 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 10:32 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 10:05 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:55 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:45 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:39 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 3:40 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 10:49 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 10:44 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 5:03 AM ET | 51% | — |
Blues vs Penguins odds on Polymarket
Every NHL marketPolymarket prices the Blues at 51%, and Axle 2.0 gives them 49%.
Prices read: Polymarket ; Axle 2.0 .
| Source | STL | PIT | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 51% | 49% | ||
| Bandwagon model | 49% | 51% | · model 2.0 |
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
St. Louis Blues vs Pittsburgh Penguins prediction
Bandwagon's model has this one even: 51% for the Penguins. The model total is 6. Ratings: Penguins 1483 (21st of 32), Blues 1498 (16th). The Penguins are 6-10-2 in the Metropolitan Division; the Blues are 8-8-2 in the Central Division. The Penguins have won 1 of their last 5; the Blues 2 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Penguins won 3, the Blues 3.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
St. Louis Blues
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Detroit Red Wings | W 3–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Nashville Predators | L 1–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| at New Jersey Devils | L 4–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| at New York Rangers | L 1–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Detroit Red Wings | W 5–4 | – | – | matchup |
Pittsburgh Penguins
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Anaheim Ducks | L 2–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Los Angeles Kings | W 5–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Boston Bruins | L 2–6 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Vegas Golden Knights | L 2–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Montreal Canadiens | L 4–5 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Penguins at St. Louis Blues | 5–7 | – | – | matchup | |
| St. Louis Blues at Pittsburgh Penguins | 3–6 | – | – | matchup | |
| Pittsburgh Penguins at St. Louis Blues | 4–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| St. Louis Blues at Pittsburgh Penguins | 3–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| St. Louis Blues at Pittsburgh Penguins | 2–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| Pittsburgh Penguins at St. Louis Blues | 2–4 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
St. Louis Blues: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Pittsburgh Penguins: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Blues8-8-2 Central Division, 7th · W1
- Blues rating1498 16th of 32, 17 games
- Penguins6-10-2 Metropolitan Division, 8th · L1
- Penguins rating1483 21st of 32, 18 games
More NHL games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
St. Louis Blues 8-8-2
National Hockey League · Central Division · 7th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $BLUES: the share of the crowd ▲ on the St. Louis Blues bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Pittsburgh Penguins 6-10-2
National Hockey League · Metropolitan Division · 8th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $PENGUINS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Pittsburgh Penguins bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on St. Louis Blues at Pittsburgh Penguins
Sign in to post a take on $BLUESPENGUINS261120: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In National Hockey League a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:33 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: even. Projected score Penguins 3.1, Blues 2.9; spread even, total 6. Polymarket 51% for the Blues. St. Louis Blues at Pittsburgh Penguins, Thu, Nov 19, 7:00 PM ET.