Utah Jazz vs Houston Rockets prediction market odds: Kalshi, Polymarket and the Bandwagon model
- Projected winnerRockets 91%
- Projected scoreRockets 122, Jazz 105
- Model spreadRockets −17.5 total 227
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Utah Jazz or Houston Rockets: the bandwagon
Axle 9–91Market 20–80
Utah Jazz at Houston Rockets win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Utah Jazz vs Houston Rockets live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Utah Jazz vs Houston Rockets team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | UTAH | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| Score | UTAH– | HOU– |
| Average win probability | UTAH– | HOU– |
| Longest scoring run | UTAH– | HOU– |
| Time leading | UTAH– | HOU– |
Utah Jazz vs Houston Rockets model odds
Every stored line
| Stored | HOU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:02 AM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:59 AM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:54 AM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:39 AM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:09 PM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET | 91% | +1 |
| Nov 2, 10:41 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:32 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:07 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:02 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 11:40 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 11:00 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 7:51 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 6:07 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 90% | +1 |
| Oct 31, 10:51 PM ET | 89% | +1 |
| Oct 31, 5:31 PM ET | 88% | +1 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 87% | — |
- Ratings
- HOU 1652 · UTAH 1260
- Home spread
- −17.5
- Stored
- Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In National Basketball Association a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past National Basketball Association seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:32 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Jazz vs Rockets odds on Polymarket
Every NBA marketPolymarket prices the Rockets at 80%, and Axle 2.0 gives them 91%.
Prices read: Polymarket ; Axle 2.0 .
| Source | UTAH | HOU | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 20% | 80% | ||
| Bandwagon model | 9% | 91% | · model 2.0 |
Ad · Bandwagon earns a commission: Trade on Kalshi (opens a new tab). 18+. Trading carries a risk of loss. Check your state. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Utah Jazz vs Houston Rockets prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Rockets a 17.5-point favorite at home, with a 91% chance to win. The model total is 227. Ratings: Rockets 1652 (5th of 30), Jazz 1260 (30th). The Rockets are 7-1 in the Southwest; the Jazz are 1-6 in the Northwest. The Rockets have won 4 of their last 5; the Jazz 0 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Rockets won 5, the Jazz 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Utah Jazz
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at San Antonio Spurs | L 97–119 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Portland Trail Blazers | L 90–112 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs San Antonio Spurs | L 111–117 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Memphis Grizzlies | L 105–110 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Los Angeles Lakers | L 123–132 | – | – | matchup |
Houston Rockets
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Boston Celtics | W 109–93 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Oklahoma City Thunder | W 119–98 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Dallas Mavericks | L 111–116 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Milwaukee Bucks | W 132–100 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Atlanta Hawks | W 120–110 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah Jazz at Houston Rockets | 106–140 | – | – | matchup | |
| Utah Jazz at Houston Rockets | 105–125 | – | – | matchup | |
| Houston Rockets at Utah Jazz | 125–133 | – | – | matchup | |
| Houston Rockets at Utah Jazz | 129–101 | – | – | matchup | |
| Utah Jazz at Houston Rockets | 127–140 | – | – | matchup | |
| Utah Jazz at Houston Rockets | 105–143 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Utah Jazz: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Houston Rockets: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Jazz1-6 Northwest, 1st · L5
- Jazz rating1260 30th of 30, 7 games
- Rockets7-1 Southwest, 5th · W2
- Rockets rating1652 5th of 30, 8 games
Utah Jazz 1-6
National Basketball Association · Northwest · 1st · streak L5
No stances yet today on $JAZZ: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Utah Jazz bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Houston Rockets 7-1
National Basketball Association · Southwest · 5th · streak W2
No stances yet today on $ROCKETS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Houston Rockets bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Utah Jazz at Houston Rockets
Sign in to post a take on $JAZZROCKETS261114: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.
Model: Rockets 91% to win. Projected score Rockets 122, Jazz 105; spread Rockets −17.5, total 227. Polymarket 80% for the Rockets. Utah Jazz at Houston Rockets, Fri, Nov 13, 8:30 PM ET.