Major League Soccer tonight, and the model has Columbus Crew at 63 percent to be ahead at the final whistle, though the game is still scoreless in the 11th minute. The crowd has not weighed in yet, with zero picks logged so far.
MLS · · ScottsMiracle-Gro Field · every Major League Soccer line
D.C. United vs Columbus Crew: final score and how the prediction did, October 31, 2026
- Final scoreD.C. United 0, Columbus Crew 3 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerColumbus Crew 63%
- Pregame Projected scoreColumbus Crew 2.0, D.C. United 1.0
- Model spreadColumbus Crew −1 total 3
- Margin3 projected 1
- Total3 projected 3
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
D.C. United or Columbus Crew: the bandwagon
Axle 16–63Market –
FinalPregame: CLB 74%Baseline: CLB 91.5% (+17.8)Big swing: 17.0 ptsClutch window: none
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| DC | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| CLB | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
DC 38.5%CLB 61.5%
D.C. United at Columbus Crew win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable+0.0 points for CLB over the last 10:00
Big swing17.0 ptstoward CLB at 17:00 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 1 goals in the final half
BaselineCLB 91.5%game average, +17.8 points from the pregame 73.7%
D.C. United vs Columbus Crew live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | DC | CLB |
|---|---|---|
| Possession | DC38.5% | CLB61.5% |
| Shots | DC9 | CLB14 |
| Shots on target | DC4 | CLB4 |
| Corners | DC4 | CLB3 |
| Passes completed | DC346/395 | CLB590/646 |
| Saves | DC2 | CLB4 |
| Fouls | DC20 | CLB11 |
| Offsides | DC3 | CLB0 |
| Yellow cards | DC2 | CLB0 |
| Red cards | DC0 | CLB0 |
D.C. United vs Columbus Crew team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | DC | CLB |
|---|---|---|
| Score | DC0 | CLB3 |
| Average win probability | DC9% | CLB91% |
| Longest scoring run | DC+0 | CLB+3 |
| Time leading | DC0:00 | CLB73:00 |
D.C. United vs Columbus Crew odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET
D.C. United16%
Win chanceColumbus Crew63%
SpreadCLB −1closing model spread
Total3
Moneyline+536away / +374draw / −172homeaway / draw / home
Line movementCLB win chance, 7 stored lines
+3 pts for CLB between Oct 29 and Oct 31
69%54%
Oct 29Oct 30Oct 31
Every stored line
| Stored | CLB win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:28 PM ET | 63% | +1 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 1:03 AM ET | 62% | +2 |
| Oct 29, 12:40 AM ET | 60% | — |
- Ratings
- CLB 1520 · DC 1370
- Home spread
- −1
- Stored
- Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET · 2026-10-31 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: D.C. United 0, Columbus Crew 3. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In Major League Soccer a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:35 PM UTC
- Weather in the data, not usedforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts · read Oct 31, 5:30 PM UTC
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
D.C. UnitedColumbus Crew
Neutrals only–
D.C. UnitedColumbus Crew
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Columbus Crew–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
D.C. United vs Columbus Crew prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Columbus Crew a 1-point favorite at home, with a 63% chance to win and a 21% chance of a draw. The model total is 3. Ratings: Columbus Crew 1527 (8th of 30), D.C. United 1363 (28th). The Columbus Crew are 13-15-5; the D.C. United are 7-14-12. The Columbus Crew have won 5 of their last 5; the D.C. United 0 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Columbus Crew won 3, the D.C. United 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
D.C. United
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Columbus Crew | L 0–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Toronto FC | L 1–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs FC Cincinnati | L 0–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at FC Cincinnati | L 1–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Orlando City SC | L 1–4 | – | – | matchup |
Columbus Crew
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs D.C. United | W 3–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| at FC Dallas | W 2–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Toronto FC | W 4–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at FC Cincinnati | W 2–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Charlotte FC | W 3–1 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Columbus Crew at D.C. United | 1–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| D.C. United at Columbus Crew | 1–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| Columbus Crew at D.C. United | 2–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| Columbus Crew at D.C. United | 2–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| D.C. United at Columbus Crew | 1–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| Columbus Crew at D.C. United | 2–0 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
D.C. United: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Columbus Crew: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- D.C. United7-14-12 14th
- D.C. United rating1363 28th of 30, 33 games
- Columbus Crew13-15-5 8th
- Columbus Crew rating1527 8th of 30, 33 games
D.C. United 7-14-12
Major League Soccer · 14th
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $DCUNITED
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $DCUNITED
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $DCUNITED
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $DCUNITED: the share of the crowd ▲ on the D.C. United bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Columbus Crew 13-15-5
Major League Soccer · 8th
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $COLUMBUS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $COLUMBUS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $COLUMBUS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $COLUMBUS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Columbus Crew bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on D.C. United at Columbus Crew
Sign in to post a take on $DCUNITEDCOLUMBUS261031: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
Final: D.C. United 0, Columbus Crew 3. Bandwagon's model had the Columbus Crew at 63% and projected Columbus Crew 2.0, D.C. United 1.0; spread Columbus Crew −1, total 3.