NWSL Championship odds on Kalshi and Polymarket vs the Bandwagon model
Title prices beside the model's rank. NWSL games
What is compared
What Kalshi and Polymarket price for each NWSL team to win the title, beside where Bandwagon's ratings rank the team and how confident the neutrals are in it (the Index). The model has no championship probability of its own; the comparison is the rank.
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
NWSL Championship odds by team on Kalshi and Polymarket
16 teams| Team | Championship Kalshi | Championship Polymarket | Market rank vs model rating rank | Bandwagon Index neutrals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego Wave FC | 26% Kalshi · | 46% Polymarket · | #1 market · #4 ratings | – |
| Gotham FC | 25% Kalshi · | 46% Polymarket · | #2 market · #1 ratings | – |
| Angel City FC | 14% Kalshi · | 45% Polymarket · | #3 market · #3 ratings | – |
| Seattle Reign FC | 3.5% Kalshi · | 45% Polymarket · | #4 market · #7 ratings | – |
| Utah Royals | 4% Kalshi · | 45% Polymarket · | #5 market · #10 ratings | – |
| Washington Spirit | 18% Kalshi · | 44% Polymarket · | #6 market · #5 ratings | – |
| Kansas City Current | 13% Kalshi · | 44% Polymarket · | #7 market · #2 ratings | – |
| Portland Thorns FC | 9% Kalshi · | 44% Polymarket · | #8 market · #6 ratings | – |
| Denver Summit FC | 3.5% Kalshi · | – | #9 market · #9 ratings | – |
| Bay FC | 0.5% Kalshi · | – | #10 market · #14 ratings | – |
| Boston Legacy FC | 0.5% Kalshi · | – | #11 market · #12 ratings | – |
| Chicago Stars FC | 0.5% Kalshi · | – | #12 market · #16 ratings | – |
| Houston Dash | 0.5% Kalshi · | – | #13 market · #13 ratings | – |
| North Carolina Courage | 0.5% Kalshi · | – | #14 market · #8 ratings | – |
| Orlando Pride | 0.5% Kalshi · | – | #15 market · #11 ratings | – |
| Racing Louisville FC | 0.5% Kalshi · | – | #16 market · #15 ratings | – |
Kalshi's championship prices add up to 119%; Polymarket's championship prices add up to 358%: prices for a field of mutually exclusive outcomes add to a little over 100% because every long shot is quoted at least a cent. These are not normalized here.
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NWSL Championship odds on Kalshi and Polymarket for every team, next to Bandwagon's rating rank and the Bandwagon Index. Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers.