NBA championship odds on Kalshi and Polymarket, NBA win totals and the Bandwagon model
Title and win-total prices beside the model's rank. NBA games
What is compared
What Kalshi and Polymarket price for each NBA team to win the title and to win more than a set number of regular-season games, beside where Bandwagon's ratings rank the team and how confident the neutrals are in it (the Index). The model has no championship probability of its own; the comparison is the rank.
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
NBA championship odds by team on Kalshi and Polymarket
30 teams| Team | Championship Kalshi | Championship Polymarket | Market rank vs model rating rank | Bandwagon Index neutrals | Win total Kalshi | Win total Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio Spurs | 23% Kalshi · | 23% Polymarket · | #1 market · #1 ratings | – | 53% over 59.5 Kalshi · | – |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | 16% Kalshi · | 13% Polymarket · | #2 market · #2 ratings | – | 45% over 54.5 Kalshi · | – |
| Philadelphia 76ers | 13% Kalshi · | 12% Polymarket · | #3 market · #9 ratings | – | 50% over 54.5 Kalshi · | – |
| Houston Rockets | 6.5% Kalshi · | 8.1% Polymarket · | #4 market · #5 ratings | – | 56% over 54.5 Kalshi · | – |
| Boston Celtics | 6.5% Kalshi · | 7.5% Polymarket · | #5 market · #6 ratings | – | 45% over 54.5 Kalshi · | – |
| New York Knicks | 6.5% Kalshi · | 5.5% Polymarket · | #6 market · #3 ratings | – | 54% over 49.5 Kalshi · | – |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | 5.5% Kalshi · | 5.6% Polymarket · | #7 market · #7 ratings | – | 40% over 49.5 Kalshi · | – |
| Detroit Pistons | 3.5% Kalshi · | 4.6% Polymarket · | #8 market · #4 ratings | – | 42% over 54.5 Kalshi · | – |
| Toronto Raptors | 3.5% Kalshi · | 3.6% Polymarket · | #9 market · #13 ratings | – | 39% over 49.5 Kalshi · | – |
| Los Angeles Lakers | 3.5% Kalshi · | 3.5% Polymarket · | #10 market · #8 ratings | – | 54% over 49.5 Kalshi · | – |
| Denver Nuggets | 2.5% Kalshi · | 2.9% Polymarket · | #11 market · #11 ratings | – | 39% over 49.5 Kalshi · | – |
| Cleveland Cavaliers | 2.5% Kalshi · | 2.7% Polymarket · | #12 market · #10 ratings | – | 40% over 49.5 Kalshi · | – |
| Portland Trail Blazers | 2.5% Kalshi · | 2.3% Polymarket · | #13 market · #12 ratings | – | 42% over 49.5 Kalshi · | – |
| Miami Heat | 1.5% Kalshi · | 2.2% Polymarket · | #14 market · #19 ratings | – | 60% over 39.5 Kalshi · | – |
| Golden State Warriors | 1.5% Kalshi · | 1.8% Polymarket · | #15 market · #17 ratings | – | 50% over 39.5 Kalshi · | – |
| Atlanta Hawks | 1.5% Kalshi · | 1.1% Polymarket · | #16 market · #14 ratings | – | 46% over 44.5 Kalshi · | – |
| Indiana Pacers | 1.5% Kalshi · | 1.5% Polymarket · | #17 market · #28 ratings | – | 45% over 39.5 Kalshi · | – |
| Dallas Mavericks | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.8% Polymarket · | #18 market · #22 ratings | – | 47% over 39.5 Kalshi · | – |
| Memphis Grizzlies | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.8% Polymarket · | #19 market · #23 ratings | – | 52% over 39.5 Kalshi · | – |
| Orlando Magic | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.8% Polymarket · | #20 market · #16 ratings | – | 52% over 39.5 Kalshi · | – |
| Brooklyn Nets | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.1% Polymarket · | #21 market · #29 ratings | – | 41% over 24.5 Kalshi · | – |
| Charlotte Hornets | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.5% Polymarket · | #22 market · #15 ratings | – | 54% over 34.5 Kalshi · | – |
| Chicago Bulls | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.1% Polymarket · | #23 market · #24 ratings | – | 61% over 24.5 Kalshi · | – |
| LA Clippers | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.1% Polymarket · | #24 market · #20 ratings | – | 39% over 29.5 Kalshi · | – |
| Milwaukee Bucks | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.1% Polymarket · | #25 market · #26 ratings | – | 39% over 24.5 Kalshi · | – |
| New Orleans Pelicans | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.2% Polymarket · | #26 market · #21 ratings | – | 57% over 29.5 Kalshi · | – |
| Phoenix Suns | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.4% Polymarket · | #27 market · #18 ratings | – | 53% over 34.5 Kalshi · | – |
| Sacramento Kings | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.1% Polymarket · | #28 market · #25 ratings | – | 54% over 19.5 Kalshi · | – |
| Utah Jazz | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.4% Polymarket · | #29 market · #30 ratings | – | 43% over 29.5 Kalshi · | – |
| Washington Wizards | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.5% Polymarket · | #30 market · #27 ratings | – | 57% over 34.5 Kalshi · | – |
Kalshi's championship prices add up to 106%; Polymarket's championship prices add up to 104%: prices for a field of mutually exclusive outcomes add to a little over 100% because every long shot is quoted at least a cent. These are not normalized here. The win total shown is the line each source prices nearest even; lines differ between sources.
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NBA championship odds on Kalshi and Polymarket: NBA championship and regular-season win-total prices from Kalshi and Polymarket for every team, next to Bandwagon's rating rank and the Bandwagon Index. Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers.