Premier League title odds on Kalshi and Polymarket vs the Bandwagon model
Title prices beside the model's rank. Premier League games
What is compared
What Kalshi and Polymarket price for each Premier League team to win the title, beside where Bandwagon's ratings rank the team and how confident the neutrals are in it (the Index). The model has no championship probability of its own; the comparison is the rank.
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Premier League title odds by team on Kalshi and Polymarket
20 teams| Team | Championship Kalshi | Championship Polymarket | Market rank vs model rating rank | Bandwagon Index neutrals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 71% Kalshi · | 70% Polymarket · | #1 market · #1 ratings | – |
| Manchester City | 11% Kalshi · | 11% Polymarket · | #2 market · #2 ratings | – |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | 7.5% Kalshi · | 6.7% Polymarket · | #3 market · #3 ratings | – |
| Liverpool | 5.5% Kalshi · | 5.4% Polymarket · | #4 market · #4 ratings | – |
| Chelsea | 3.5% Kalshi · | 3.7% Polymarket · | #5 market · #9 ratings | – |
| Tottenham Hotspur | 0.5% Kalshi · | 1.2% Polymarket · | #6 market · #15 ratings | – |
| Manchester United | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.7% Polymarket · | #7 market · #7 ratings | – |
| AFC Bournemouth | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.1% Polymarket · | #8 market · #5 ratings | – |
| Aston Villa | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.5% Polymarket · | #9 market · #6 ratings | – |
| Brentford | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.2% Polymarket · | #10 market · #8 ratings | – |
| Coventry City | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.1% Polymarket · | #11 market · #17 ratings | – |
| Crystal Palace | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.1% Polymarket · | #12 market · #20 ratings | – |
| Everton | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.1% Polymarket · | #13 market · #11 ratings | – |
| Fulham | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.1% Polymarket · | #14 market · #12 ratings | – |
| Hull City | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.2% Polymarket · | #15 market · #14 ratings | – |
| Ipswich Town | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.1% Polymarket · | #16 market · #19 ratings | – |
| Leeds United | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.1% Polymarket · | #17 market · #10 ratings | – |
| Newcastle United | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.1% Polymarket · | #18 market · #13 ratings | – |
| Nottingham Forest | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.1% Polymarket · | #19 market · #16 ratings | – |
| Sunderland | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.1% Polymarket · | #20 market · #18 ratings | – |
Kalshi's championship prices add up to 105%; Polymarket's championship prices add up to 99%: prices for a field of mutually exclusive outcomes add to a little over 100% because every long shot is quoted at least a cent. These are not normalized here.
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Premier League title odds on Kalshi and Polymarket for every team, next to Bandwagon's rating rank and the Bandwagon Index. Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers.