College football championship odds on prediction markets vs the Bandwagon model
Title prices beside the model's rank. College football games
What is compared
What Kalshi and Polymarket price for each College football team to win the title, beside where Bandwagon's ratings rank the team and how confident the neutrals are in it (the Index). The model has no championship probability of its own; the comparison is the rank.
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
College football championship odds by team
53 teams| Team | Championship Kalshi | Championship Polymarket | Market rank vs model rating rank | Bandwagon Index neutrals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Bulldogs | 22% Kalshi · | 24% Polymarket · | #1 market · #3 ratings | – |
| Miami Hurricanes | 14% Kalshi · | 14% Polymarket · | #2 market · #2 ratings | – |
| Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 13% Kalshi · | 14% Polymarket · | #3 market · #5 ratings | – |
| LSU Tigers | 8.5% Kalshi · | 10% Polymarket · | #4 market · #15 ratings | – |
| Indiana Hoosiers | 8.5% Kalshi · | 7.2% Polymarket · | #5 market · #1 ratings | – |
| Texas Longhorns | 6.5% Kalshi · | 7% Polymarket · | #6 market · #8 ratings | – |
| Ohio State Buckeyes | 4.5% Kalshi · | 6.5% Polymarket · | #7 market · #4 ratings | – |
| Alabama Crimson Tide | 5.5% Kalshi · | 5.5% Polymarket · | #8 market · #9 ratings | – |
| Ole Miss Rebels | 4.5% Kalshi · | 3.7% Polymarket · | #9 market · #7 ratings | – |
| Utah Utes | 2.5% Kalshi · | – | #10 market · #6 ratings | – |
| UCLA Bruins | 1.5% Kalshi · | – | #11 market · #24 ratings | – |
| USC Trojans | 0.5% Kalshi · | 1.2% Polymarket · | #12 market · #17 ratings | – |
| Florida Gators | 0.5% Kalshi · | 1.1% Polymarket · | #13 market · #60 ratings | – |
| Texas Tech Red Raiders | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.9% Polymarket · | #14 market · #11 ratings | – |
| Arizona State Sun Devils | 0.5% Kalshi · | – | #15 market · #64 ratings | – |
| Arizona Wildcats | 0.5% Kalshi · | – | #16 market · #20 ratings | – |
| Arkansas Razorbacks | 0.5% Kalshi · | – | #17 market · #92 ratings | – |
| Auburn Tigers | 0.5% Kalshi · | – | #18 market · #73 ratings | – |
| Baylor Bears | 0.5% Kalshi · | – | #19 market · #48 ratings | – |
| BYU Cougars | 0.5% Kalshi · | – | #20 market · #10 ratings | – |
| California Golden Bears | 0.5% Kalshi · | – | #21 market · #117 ratings | – |
| Clemson Tigers | 0.5% Kalshi · | – | #22 market · #41 ratings | – |
| Florida State Seminoles | 0.5% Kalshi · | – | #23 market · #88 ratings | – |
| Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | 0.5% Kalshi · | – | #24 market · #109 ratings | – |
| Houston Cougars | 0.5% Kalshi · | – | #25 market · #27 ratings | – |
| Illinois Fighting Illini | 0.5% Kalshi · | – | #26 market · #44 ratings | – |
| Iowa Hawkeyes | 0.5% Kalshi · | – | #27 market · #16 ratings | – |
| James Madison Dukes | 0.5% Kalshi · | – | #28 market · #14 ratings | – |
| Kansas State Wildcats | 0.5% Kalshi · | – | #29 market · #66 ratings | – |
| Kentucky Wildcats | 0.5% Kalshi · | – | #30 market · #32 ratings | – |
| Louisville Cardinals | 0.5% Kalshi · | – | #31 market · #26 ratings | – |
| Miami (OH) RedHawks | 0.5% Kalshi · | – | #32 market · #89 ratings | – |
| Michigan Wolverines | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.1% Polymarket · | #33 market · #29 ratings | – |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs | 0.5% Kalshi · | – | #34 market · #77 ratings | – |
| Missouri Tigers | 0.5% Kalshi · | – | #35 market · #21 ratings | – |
| NC State Wolfpack | 0.5% Kalshi · | – | #36 market · #68 ratings | – |
| North Texas Mean Green | 0.5% Kalshi · | – | #37 market · #30 ratings | – |
| Oklahoma Sooners | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.2% Polymarket · | #38 market · #43 ratings | – |
| Oklahoma State Cowboys | 0.5% Kalshi · | – | #39 market · #85 ratings | – |
| Oregon Ducks | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.4% Polymarket · | #40 market · #12 ratings | – |
| Penn State Nittany Lions | 0.5% Kalshi · | – | #41 market · #39 ratings | – |
| Pittsburgh Panthers | 0.5% Kalshi · | – | #42 market · #57 ratings | – |
| SMU Mustangs | 0.5% Kalshi · | – | #43 market · #23 ratings | – |
| South Carolina Gamecocks | 0.5% Kalshi · | – | #44 market · #34 ratings | – |
| TCU Horned Frogs | 0.5% Kalshi · | – | #45 market · #51 ratings | – |
| Tennessee Volunteers | 0.5% Kalshi · | – | #46 market · #18 ratings | – |
| Texas A&M Aggies | 0.5% Kalshi · | 0.1% Polymarket · | #47 market · #45 ratings | – |
| Tulane Green Wave | 0.5% Kalshi · | – | #48 market · #55 ratings | – |
| Vanderbilt Commodores | 0.5% Kalshi · | – | #49 market · #71 ratings | – |
| Virginia Cavaliers | 0.5% Kalshi · | – | #50 market · #75 ratings | – |
| Virginia Tech Hokies | 0.5% Kalshi · | – | #51 market · #62 ratings | – |
| Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 0.5% Kalshi · | – | #52 market · #19 ratings | – |
| Washington Huskies | 0.5% Kalshi · | – | #53 market · #28 ratings | – |
Kalshi's championship prices add up to 112%; Polymarket's championship prices add up to 97%: prices for a field of mutually exclusive outcomes add to a little over 100% because every long shot is quoted at least a cent. These are not normalized here.
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College football championship prices from Kalshi and Polymarket for every team, next to Bandwagon's rating rank and the Bandwagon Index. Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers.