Ligue 1 tonight, and Lyon lead Angers 1-0 at the 39th minute. The model gives Lyon a 70 percent chance right now, but no crowd picks are in yet, so there is nothing from the fans to set against it.
Ligue 1 · · Parc Olympique Lyonnais · every Ligue 1 line
Angers vs Lyon: final score and how the prediction did, November 1, 2026
- Final scoreAngers 0, Lyon 2 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerLyon 70%
- Pregame Projected scoreLyon 2.3, Angers 0.8
- Model spreadLyon −1.5 total 3
- Margin2 projected 1.5
- Total2 projected 3
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Angers or Lyon: the bandwagon
Axle 12–70Market –
FinalPregame: LYON 79%Baseline: LYON 86.6% (+7.6)Big swing: 18.2 ptsClutch window: 43:00
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| ANG | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| LYON | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
ANG 35.9%LYON 64.1%
Angers at Lyon win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable+2.7 points for LYON over the last 10:00
Big swing18.2 ptstoward LYON at 39:00 of game time
Clutch window43:00within 1 goals in the final half
BaselineLYON 86.6%game average, +7.6 points from the pregame 79.0%
Angers vs Lyon live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | ANG | LYON |
|---|---|---|
| Possession | ANG35.9% | LYON64.1% |
| Shots | ANG8 | LYON20 |
| Shots on target | ANG2 | LYON5 |
| Corners | ANG3 | LYON4 |
| Passes completed | ANG298/359 | LYON601/660 |
| Saves | ANG3 | LYON2 |
| Fouls | ANG6 | LYON16 |
| Offsides | ANG1 | LYON1 |
| Yellow cards | ANG1 | LYON0 |
| Red cards | ANG0 | LYON0 |
Angers vs Lyon team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | ANG | LYON |
|---|---|---|
| Score | ANG0 | LYON2 |
| Average win probability | ANG13% | LYON87% |
| Longest scoring run | ANG+0 | LYON+2 |
| Time leading | ANG0:00 | LYON51:00 |
Angers vs Lyon odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 1, 10:59 AM ET
Angers12%
Win chanceLyon70%
SpreadLYON −1.5closing model spread
Total3
Moneyline+705away / +483draw / −238homeaway / draw / home
Line movementLYON win chance, 12 stored lines
+3 pts for LYON between Oct 29 and Nov 1
76%61%
Oct 29Oct 30Nov 1
Every stored line
| Stored | LYON win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 10:59 AM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 10:59 AM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:03 AM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 5:41 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:00 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 3:59 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 3:54 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:28 PM ET | 70% | +3 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 1:03 AM ET | 67% | — |
- Ratings
- LYON 1511 · ANG 1330
- Home spread
- −1.5
- Stored
- Nov 1, 10:59 AM ET · 2026-11-01 15:59 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
- Last move
- spread −1 → −1.5
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Angers 0, Lyon 2. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In Ligue 1 a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:34 PM UTC
- Weather in the data, not usedforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts · read Nov 1, 2:58 PM UTC
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · 1 pick
Be the first on the bandwagon
AngersLyon
Neutrals only–
AngersLyon
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Lyon–
1 pick so far; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Angers vs Lyon prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Lyon a 1.5-point favorite at home, with a 70% chance to win and a 17% chance of a draw. The model total is 3. Ratings: Lyon 1517 (5th of 18), Angers 1324 (18th). The Lyon are 5-2-2; the Angers are 2-5-2. The Lyon have won 3 of their last 5; the Angers 1 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Lyon won 5, the Angers 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Angers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Lyon | L 0–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Lorient | T 0–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Marseille | L 2–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Brest | L 1–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Troyes | W 2–0 | – | – | matchup |
Lyon
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Angers | W 2–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Paris Saint-Germain | L 0–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Nice | W 2–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Lens | L 1–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Stade Rennais | W 4–0 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
Injuries
Angers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Lyon: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Angers2-5-2 15th
- Angers rating1324 18th of 18, 9 games
- Lyon5-2-2 3rd
- Lyon rating1517 5th of 18, 9 games
Angers 2-5-2
Ligue 1 · 15th
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $ANGERS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $ANGERS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $ANGERS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $ANGERS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Angers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Lyon 5-2-2
Ligue 1 · 3rd
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $LYON
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $LYON
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $LYON
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $LYON: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Lyon bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Angers at Lyon
Sign in to post a take on $ANGERSLYON261101: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.