Manchester City vs Aston Villa: final score and how the prediction did, October 24, 2026
- Modelno line yet
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Manchester City or Aston Villa: the bandwagon
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Manchester City at Aston Villa win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon reads a game's box score only while it is on or just ended, so no in-game series was stored for this one.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Manchester City vs Aston Villa live stats
From the league's public game summaryNo box score stored for this game.
Manchester City vs Aston Villa team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | MNC | AVL |
|---|---|---|
| Score | MNC1 | AVL2 |
| Average win probability | MNC– | AVL– |
| Longest scoring run | MNC– | AVL– |
| Time leading | MNC– | AVL– |
Manchester City vs Aston Villa odds
No model line for this game yet; it finished before the model covered it.
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
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No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Manchester City vs Aston Villa prediction
Ratings: Aston Villa 1478 (6th of 20), Manchester City 1604 (2nd). The Aston Villa are 3-3-3; the Manchester City are 7-2. The Aston Villa have won 2 of their last 5; the Manchester City 2 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Aston Villa won 4, the Manchester City 2.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Manchester City
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at RB Leipzig | W 3–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Brighton & Hove Albion | L 0–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Aston Villa | L 1–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Ipswich Town | W 3–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Paris Saint-Germain | L 2–4 | – | – | matchup |
Aston Villa
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Barcelona | L 0–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Fulham | T 1–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Manchester City | W 2–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Newcastle United | W 1–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Brentford | T 2–2 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa at Manchester City | 2–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| Manchester City at Aston Villa | 0–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| Aston Villa at Manchester City | 1–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| Manchester City at Aston Villa | 1–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| Aston Villa at Manchester City | 1–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| Manchester City at Aston Villa | 0–1 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Manchester City: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Aston Villa: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Manchester City7-2 2nd
- Manchester City rating1604 2nd of 20, 9 games
- Aston Villa3-3-3 10th
- Aston Villa rating1478 6th of 20, 9 games
Manchester City 7-2
Premier League · 2nd
No stances yet today on $MANCITY: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Manchester City bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Aston Villa 3-3-3
Premier League · 10th
No stances yet today on $ASTONVILLA: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Aston Villa bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Manchester City at Aston Villa
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