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bandwagon.Newsletter
Axle 2.077% straight up634 games
Premier League · · Old Trafford · every Premier League line

Arsenal vs Manchester United: final score and how the prediction did, August 17, 2025

Arsenal or Manchester United: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

Be the first on the bandwagon

Manchester United▲ Hop on▼ Jump off

Axle no line yetMarket –

Final
Record 8-1
10
Record 1-4-4
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
–

Arsenal at Manchester United win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0'45'90'
0%20%40%60%80%100%0'45'90'

Bandwagon reads a game's box score only while it is on or just ended, so no in-game series was stored for this one.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Needs two stored points.
Big swing–Needs two stored points.
Clutch window–Needs two stored points.
Baseline–Needs two stored points.

Arsenal vs Manchester United live stats

From the league's public game summary

No box score stored for this game.

Arsenal vs Manchester United team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatARSMAN
ScoreARS1MAN0
Average win probabilityARS–MAN–
Longest scoring runARS–MAN–
Time leadingARS–MAN–

Arsenal vs Manchester United odds

Bandwagon model
Spread—
Total—
Moneyline—

No model line for this game yet; it finished before the model covered it.

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

ArsenalManchester United
Neutrals only–
ArsenalManchester United
Picks locked at kickoff.
Bandwagon minus model, Manchester United–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Arsenal vs Manchester United prediction

Ratings: Manchester United 1462 (7th of 20), Arsenal 1631 (1st). The Manchester United are 1-4-4; the Arsenal are 8-1. The Manchester United have won 1 of their last 5; the Arsenal 4 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Manchester United won 1, the Arsenal 4.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Arsenal

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at LiverpoolW 1–0––matchup
vs EvertonW 2–0––matchup
at Bayern MunichT 2–2––matchup
at Nottingham ForestW 1–0––matchup
vs LilleW 3–0––matchup

Manchester United

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs AS RomaW 3–2––matchup
at ChelseaL 0–2––matchup
vs AFC BournemouthL 0–3––matchup
at ComoL 1–4––matchup
at Leeds UnitedT 1–1––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
Manchester United at Arsenal3–2––matchup
Arsenal at Manchester United1–1––matchup
Manchester United at Arsenal0–2––matchup
Arsenal at Manchester United1–0––matchup
Manchester United at Arsenal1–3––matchup
Manchester United at Arsenal2–3––matchup

Injuries

Arsenal: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Manchester United: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Arsenal8-1 1st
  • Arsenal rating1631 1st of 20, 9 games
  • Manchester United1-4-4 17th
  • Manchester United rating1462 7th of 20, 9 games

Arsenal 8-1

Premier League · 1st

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $ARSENAL
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $ARSENAL
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $ARSENAL
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $ARSENAL: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Arsenal bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Arsenal roster, schedule and more

Manchester United 1-4-4

Premier League · 17th

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $MANUNITED
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $MANUNITED
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $MANUNITED
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $MANUNITED: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Manchester United bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Manchester United roster, schedule and more

Takes on Arsenal at Manchester United

Sign in to post a take on $ARSENALMANUNITED250817: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.

No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.