USC Trojans vs UCLA Bruins prediction, odds and picks, November 27, 2026
USC at UCLA: Bandwagon's model makes UCLA a 56% favorite (UCLA −2.5).
USC Trojans vs UCLA Bruins odds and win probability
Axle gives UCLA a 56% chance to win, by about 3 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has UCLA
All CFB ratings| USC | UCLA | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1683 17th of 138 | 1665 19th of 138 |
| Last 5 games | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | W1 | W9 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 3 | 1 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results and home advantage; last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | UCLA win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 11:52 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:52 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 56% | — |
USC Trojans vs UCLA Bruins prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Bruins a 2.5-point favorite at home, with a 56% chance to win. The model total is 51.5. Ratings: Bruins 1665 (19th of 138), Trojans 1683 (17th). The Bruins have won 5 of their last 5; the Trojans 3 of their last 5. The two have met 4 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Bruins won 1, the Trojans 3.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
USC Trojans
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Ohio State Buckeyes | W 30–18 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Wisconsin Badgers | L 7–24 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Penn State Nittany Lions | W 31–23 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Washington Huskies | W 25–21 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Oregon Ducks | L 27–41 | – | – | matchup |
UCLA Bruins
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Minnesota Golden Gophers | W 34–20 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Nevada Wolf Pack | W 27–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Michigan State Spartans | W 28–10 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Wisconsin Badgers | W 17–7 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Oregon Ducks | W 17–15 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCLA Bruins at USC Trojans | 10–29 | – | – | matchup | |
| USC Trojans at UCLA Bruins | 19–13 | – | – | matchup | |
| UCLA Bruins at USC Trojans | 38–20 | – | – | matchup | |
| USC Trojans at UCLA Bruins | 48–45 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
USC Trojans: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
UCLA Bruins: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Trojans– 4th · W1
- Trojans rating1683 17th of 138, 9 games
- Bruins– 1st · W9
- Bruins rating1665 19th of 138, 9 games
More CFB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I FBS football · 4th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $USC: the share of the crowd ▲ on the USC Trojans bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · 1st · streak W9
No stances yet today on $UCLA: the share of the crowd ▲ on the UCLA Bruins bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on USC Trojans at UCLA Bruins
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · No venue coordinates stored for the home sidedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · No forecast stored before kickoffforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.