Tulane Green Wave vs South Florida Bulls prediction, odds and picks, November 27, 2026
Tulane at South Florida: Bandwagon's model makes South Florida a 74% favorite (South Florida −10.5).
Tulane Green Wave vs South Florida Bulls odds and win probability
Axle gives South Florida a 74% chance to win, by about 10 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has South Florida
All CFB ratings| TULN | USF | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1468 81st of 138 | 1564 46th of 138 |
| Last 5 games | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 2 | 0 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results and home advantage; last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | USF win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 11:52 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:52 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:43 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 74% | — |
Tulane Green Wave vs South Florida Bulls prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Bulls a 10.5-point favorite at home, with a 74% chance to win. The model total is 48.5. Ratings: Bulls 1564 (46th of 138), Green Wave 1468 (81st). The Bulls have won 2 of their last 5; the Green Wave 2 of their last 5. The two have met 2 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Bulls won 0, the Green Wave 2.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Tulane Green Wave
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane | L 10–60 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Charlotte 49ers | W 38–31 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UTSA Roadrunners | L 19–42 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Memphis Tigers | W 31–17 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Army Black Knights | L 17–20 | – | – | matchup |
South Florida Bulls
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at East Carolina Pirates | L 17–20 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UAB Blazers | W 30–10 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Kent State Golden Flashes | W 29–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UTSA Roadrunners | L 24–31 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Temple Owls | L 13–17 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Florida Bulls at Tulane Green Wave | 10–45 | – | – | matchup | |
| Tulane Green Wave at South Florida Bulls | 45–31 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Tulane Green Wave: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
South Florida Bulls: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Green Wave– 10th · L1
- Green Wave rating1468 81st of 138, 9 games
- Bulls– 5th · L1
- Bulls rating1564 46th of 138, 8 games
More CFB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I FBS football · 10th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $TULN: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Tulane Green Wave bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · 5th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $USF: the share of the crowd ▲ on the South Florida Bulls bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Tulane Green Wave at South Florida Bulls
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · A previous venue or its coordinates is not storeddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · No forecast stored before kickoffforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: South Florida 74% to win. Projected score South Florida 29, Tulane 19; spread South Florida −10.5, total 48.5. Tulane Green Wave at South Florida Bulls, Fri, Nov 27, 12:00 AM ET.