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FBS · · M. M. Roberts Stadium · every NCAA Division I FBS football line

Texas State Bobcats vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles: final score and how the prediction did, November 15, 2025

Texas State Bobcats or Southern Miss Golden Eagles: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

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Final
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Final
Down & distance
Final
Possession
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Texas State Bobcats at Southern Miss Golden Eagles win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0015:0030:0045:0060:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0030:0060:00

Bandwagon reads a game's box score only while it is on or just ended, so no in-game series was stored for this one.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Needs two stored points.
Big swing–Needs two stored points.
Clutch window–Needs two stored points.
Baseline–Needs two stored points.

Texas State Bobcats vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles live stats

From the league's public game summary

No box score stored for this game.

Texas State Bobcats vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatTXSTUSM
ScoreTXST41USM14
Average win probabilityTXST–USM–
Longest scoring runTXST–USM–
Time leadingTXST–USM–

Texas State Bobcats vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles odds

Bandwagon model
Spread—
Total—
Moneyline—

No model line for this game yet; it finished before the model covered it.

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

BobcatsGolden Eagles
Neutrals only–
BobcatsGolden Eagles
Picks locked at kickoff.
Bandwagon minus model, Golden Eagles–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Texas State Bobcats vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles prediction

Ratings: Golden Eagles 1335 (121st of 138), Bobcats 1539 (58th). The Golden Eagles have won 2 of their last 5; the Bobcats 3 of their last 5. The two have met 3 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Golden Eagles won 1, the Bobcats 2.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Texas State Bobcats

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Boise State BroncosL 45–46––matchup
vs Utah State AggiesW 20–17––matchup
vs Colorado State RamsW 66–27––matchup
at San Diego State AztecsL 29–31––matchup
vs North Texas Mean GreenW 49–35––matchup

Southern Miss Golden Eagles

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs James Madison DukesL 23–54––matchup
at UL Monroe WarhawksW 35–21––matchup
vs Louisiana Ragin' CajunsW 35–31––matchup
vs Arkansas State Red WolvesL 13–23––matchup
at Troy TrojansL 34–55––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
Southern Miss Golden Eagles at Texas State Bobcats3–58––matchup
Texas State Bobcats at Southern Miss Golden Eagles50–36––matchup
Southern Miss Golden Eagles at Texas State Bobcats20–14––matchup

Injuries

Texas State Bobcats: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Southern Miss Golden Eagles: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Bobcats– 4th · L1
  • Bobcats rating1539 58th of 138, 7 games
  • Golden Eagles– Sun Belt - West, 6th · W2
  • Golden Eagles rating1335 121st of 138, 8 games

Texas State Bobcats

NCAA Division I FBS football · 4th · streak L1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $TXST
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $TXST
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $TXST
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $TXST: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Texas State Bobcats bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Bobcats roster, schedule and more

Southern Miss Golden Eagles

NCAA Division I FBS football · Sun Belt - West · 6th · streak W2

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $USM
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $USM
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $USM
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $USM: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Southern Miss Golden Eagles bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Golden Eagles roster, schedule and more

Takes on Texas State Bobcats at Southern Miss Golden Eagles

Sign in to post a take on $TXSTUSM251115: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.

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Final: Texas State 41, Southern Miss 14. Texas State Bobcats at Southern Miss Golden Eagles at M. M. Roberts Stadium: form, head-to-head and the crowd's pick.