Temple Owls vs Memphis Tigers prediction, odds and picks, November 26, 2026
Temple at Memphis: Bandwagon's model makes Memphis a 92% favorite (Memphis −24.5).
Temple Owls vs Memphis Tigers odds and win probability
Axle gives Memphis a 92% chance to win, by about 25 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Memphis
All CFB ratings| TEM | MEM | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1302 126th of 138 | 1600 33rd of 138 |
| Last 5 games | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | W2 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 0 | 2 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results and home advantage; last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | MEM win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 11:52 PM ET | 92% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:52 PM ET | 92% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:43 PM ET | 92% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 92% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 92% | — |
Temple Owls vs Memphis Tigers prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Tigers a 24.5-point favorite at home, with a 92% chance to win. The model total is 55.5. Ratings: Tigers 1600 (33rd of 138), Owls 1302 (126th). The Tigers have won 4 of their last 5; the Owls 1 of their last 5. The two have met 2 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Tigers won 2, the Owls 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Temple Owls
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Navy Midshipmen | L 35–42 | – | – | matchup | |
| at East Carolina Pirates | L 9–17 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Charlotte 49ers | L 31–38 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UConn Huskies | L 20–34 | – | – | matchup | |
| at South Florida Bulls | W 17–13 | – | – | matchup |
Memphis Tigers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Army Black Knights | W 49–22 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs East Carolina Pirates | W 41–34 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Tulane Green Wave | L 17–31 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UAB Blazers | W 38–13 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Charlotte 49ers | W 59–8 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Memphis Tigers at Temple Owls | 45–21 | – | – | matchup | |
| Temple Owls at Memphis Tigers | 3–24 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Temple Owls: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Memphis Tigers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Owls– 12th · L4
- Owls rating1302 126th of 138, 8 games
- Tigers– 2nd · W2
- Tigers rating1600 33rd of 138, 8 games
More CFB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I FBS football · 12th · streak L4
No stances yet today on $TEM: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Temple Owls bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · 2nd · streak W2
No stances yet today on $MEM: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Memphis Tigers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Temple Owls at Memphis Tigers
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · No venue coordinates stored for the home sidedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · No forecast stored before kickoffforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Memphis 92% to win. Projected score Memphis 40, Temple 15; spread Memphis −24.5, total 55.5. Temple Owls at Memphis Tigers, Fri, Nov 27, 12:00 AM ET.