TCU Horned Frogs vs Texas Tech Red Raiders prediction, odds and picks, November 26, 2026
TCU at Texas Tech: Bandwagon's model makes Texas Tech an 82% favorite (Texas Tech −14.5).
TCU Horned Frogs vs Texas Tech Red Raiders odds and win probability
Axle gives Texas Tech a 82% chance to win, by about 15 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Texas Tech
All CFB ratings| TCU | TTU | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1552 51st of 138 | 1710 11th of 138 |
| Last 5 games | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | W2 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 2 | 1 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results and home advantage; last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | TTU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 11:52 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:52 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:43 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 82% | — |
TCU Horned Frogs vs Texas Tech Red Raiders prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Red Raiders a 14.5-point favorite at home, with a 82% chance to win. The model total is 51. Ratings: Red Raiders 1710 (11th of 138), Horned Frogs 1552 (51st). The Red Raiders have won 4 of their last 5; the Horned Frogs 2 of their last 5. The two have met 3 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Red Raiders won 1, the Horned Frogs 2.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
TCU Horned Frogs
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Arizona Wildcats | L 28–29 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Kansas Jayhawks | W 22–16 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs West Virginia Mountaineers | L 20–24 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Baylor Bears | W 17–6 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs BYU Cougars | L 10–17 | – | – | matchup |
Texas Tech Red Raiders
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs West Virginia Mountaineers | W 53–48 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Arizona Wildcats | W 34–26 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Cincinnati Bearcats | L 24–37 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Arizona State Sun Devils | W 53–25 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Colorado Buffaloes | W 29–7 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Tech Red Raiders at TCU Horned Frogs | 34–35 | – | – | matchup | |
| TCU Horned Frogs at Texas Tech Red Raiders | 28–35 | – | – | matchup | |
| Texas Tech Red Raiders at TCU Horned Frogs | 24–34 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
TCU Horned Frogs: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Texas Tech Red Raiders: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Horned Frogs– 13th · L1
- Horned Frogs rating1552 51st of 138, 8 games
- Red Raiders– 2nd · W2
- Red Raiders rating1710 11th of 138, 8 games
More CFB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I FBS football · 13th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $TCU: the share of the crowd ▲ on the TCU Horned Frogs bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · 2nd · streak W2
No stances yet today on $TTU: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Texas Tech Red Raiders bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on TCU Horned Frogs at Texas Tech Red Raiders
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · No venue coordinates stored for the home sidedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · No forecast stored before kickoffforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Texas Tech 82% to win. Projected score Texas Tech 33, TCU 18; spread Texas Tech −14.5, total 51. TCU Horned Frogs at Texas Tech Red Raiders, Thu, Nov 26, 8:00 PM ET.