Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Syracuse Orange prediction, odds and picks, November 28, 2026
Notre Dame at Syracuse: Bandwagon's model makes Notre Dame a 93% favorite (Notre Dame −26).
Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Syracuse Orange odds and win probability
Axle gives Notre Dame a 93% chance to win, by about 26 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Notre Dame
All CFB ratings| ND | SYR | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1806 3rd of 138 | 1379 108th of 138 |
| Last 5 games | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W2 | L1 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 2 | 0 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results and home advantage; last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | SYR win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 11:52 PM ET | 7% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:52 PM ET | 7% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:43 PM ET | 7% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 7% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 7% | — |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Syracuse Orange prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Fighting Irish a 26-point favorite, with a 93% chance to win. The model total is 53.5. Ratings: Orange 1379 (108th of 138), Fighting Irish 1806 (3rd). The Orange have won 2 of their last 5; the Fighting Irish 4 of their last 5. The two have met 2 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Orange won 0, the Fighting Irish 2.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Miami Hurricanes | W 31–24 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Navy Midshipmen | W 35–13 | – | – | matchup | |
| at BYU Cougars | L 24–28 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Stanford Cardinal | W 58–7 | – | – | matchup | |
| at North Carolina Tar Heels | W 37–26 | – | – | matchup |
Syracuse Orange
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Clemson Tigers | L 13–18 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs SMU Mustangs | W 30–27 | – | – | matchup | |
| at North Carolina Tar Heels | W 31–30 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Louisville Cardinals | L 26–34 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Virginia Cavaliers | L 25–28 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Syracuse Orange at Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 7–70 | – | – | matchup | |
| Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Syracuse Orange | 41–24 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Notre Dame Fighting Irish: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Syracuse Orange: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Fighting Irish– 1st · W2
- Fighting Irish rating1806 3rd of 138, 9 games
- Orange– 15th · L1
- Orange rating1379 108th of 138, 8 games
More CFB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I FBS football · 1st · streak W2
No stances yet today on $ND: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · 15th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $SYR: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Syracuse Orange bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Syracuse Orange
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · No venue coordinates stored for the home sidedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · No forecast stored before kickoffforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Notre Dame 93% to win. Projected score Notre Dame 40, Syracuse 14; spread Notre Dame −26, total 53.5. Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Syracuse Orange, Sat, Nov 28, 12:00 AM ET.