WCBBCAM 23 NCSU 35· 2:33 - 2ndWCBBDEL 13 VT 38· 5:29 - 2ndWCBBNOLA–ALA7:00 PMCFBBALL–MASS7:00 PMCBBUMES–HPU7:00 PMCBBLONG–JOES7:00 PMCBBFDU–BTLR7:00 PMNBAPHI–DET7:00 PMNBAATL–WSH7:00 PMWCBBLAS–RUTG7:00 PMCFBTOL–SAC7:00 PMWCBBDETM–ILL7:00 PMWCBBUTC–WKU7:30 PMNBAMIL–BOS7:30 PMCBBCSUN–WICH7:30 PMNBACHI–NY7:30 PMNBACHA–BKN7:30 PMNHLOTT–BUF7:30 PMNHLCHI–FLA7:30 PMCFBCMU–EMU7:30 PMWCBBJKST–GCU8:00 PMWCBBLIU–TXST8:00 PMNBAIND–MEM8:00 PMNBAUTAH–NO8:00 PMNBACLE–OKC8:00 PMWCBBMORG–COLO8:00 PMWCBBSTET–LOU8:00 PMWCBBFDU–TEX8:00 PMCBBNKU–SDAK8:00 PMCBBSELA–AUB8:00 PMNBAMIN–HOU8:30 PMNBATOR–DEN9:00 PMWCBBCBU–ORST9:00 PMNBAPOR–PHX9:00 PMCBBRAD–CAL9:00 PMNBADAL–SA9:30 PMCBBNDSU–SMC10:00 PMNHLCGY–SEA10:00 PMNHLSJ–LA10:00 PMNBALAL–SAC10:00 PMAll scores
bandwagon.Newsletter
Axle 2.078% straight up465 games
FBS · · every NCAA Division I FBS football line

Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs North Carolina Tar Heels: final score and how the prediction did, October 3, 2026

Notre Dame Fighting Irish or North Carolina Tar Heels: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

Be the first on the bandwagon

Axle no line yetMarket –

Final
Game clock
Final
Down & distance
Final
Possession
–

Notre Dame Fighting Irish at North Carolina Tar Heels win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0015:0030:0045:0060:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0030:0060:00

Bandwagon reads a game's box score only while it is on or just ended, so no in-game series was stored for this one.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Needs two stored points.
Big swing–Needs two stored points.
Clutch window–Needs two stored points.
Baseline–Needs two stored points.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs North Carolina Tar Heels live stats

From the league's public game summary

No box score stored for this game.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs North Carolina Tar Heels team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatNDUNC
ScoreND37UNC26
Average win probabilityND–UNC–
Longest scoring runND–UNC–
Time leadingND–UNC–

Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs North Carolina Tar Heels odds

Bandwagon model
Spread—
Total—
Moneyline—

No model line for this game yet; it finished before the model covered it.

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

Fighting IrishTar Heels
Neutrals only–
Fighting IrishTar Heels
Picks locked at kickoff.
Bandwagon minus model, Tar Heels–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs North Carolina Tar Heels prediction

Ratings: Tar Heels 1470 (79th of 138), Fighting Irish 1782 (5th). The Tar Heels have won 2 of their last 5; the Fighting Irish 4 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Tar Heels won 0, the Fighting Irish 1.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Navy MidshipmenW 35–13––matchup
at BYU CougarsL 24–28––matchup
vs Stanford CardinalW 58–7––matchup
at North Carolina Tar HeelsW 37–26––matchup
at Purdue BoilermakersW 49–10––matchup

North Carolina Tar Heels

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Miami HurricanesL 35–38––matchup
vs Syracuse OrangeL 30–31––matchup
at Duke Blue DevilsW 24–20––matchup
at Pittsburgh PanthersW 21–17––matchup
vs Notre Dame Fighting IrishL 26–37––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
Notre Dame Fighting Irish at North Carolina Tar Heels45–32––matchup

Injuries

Notre Dame Fighting Irish: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

North Carolina Tar Heels: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Fighting Irish– 1st · W1
  • Fighting Irish rating1782 5th of 138, 8 games
  • Tar Heels– 11th · L2
  • Tar Heels rating1470 79th of 138, 7 games

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

NCAA Division I FBS football · 1st · streak W1

–
Be the first on the bandwagon1 stance so far today on $ND
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $ND
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagon1 stance so far today on $ND
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

1 stance today on $ND: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Fighting Irish roster, schedule and more

North Carolina Tar Heels

NCAA Division I FBS football · 11th · streak L2

–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $UNC
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $UNC
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $UNC
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $UNC: the share of the crowd ▲ on the North Carolina Tar Heels bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Tar Heels roster, schedule and more

Takes on Notre Dame Fighting Irish at North Carolina Tar Heels

Sign in to post a take on $NDUNC261003: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.

No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.