Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Ole Miss Rebels prediction, odds and picks, November 27, 2026
Mississippi State at Ole Miss: Bandwagon's model makes Ole Miss an 89% favorite (Ole Miss −20.5).
Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Ole Miss Rebels odds and win probability
Axle gives Ole Miss a 89% chance to win, by about 20 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Ole Miss
All CFB ratings| MSST | MISS | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1459 83rd of 138 | 1697 14th of 138 |
| Last 5 games | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 1 | 3 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results and home advantage; last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | MISS win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 11:52 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:52 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:43 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 89% | — |
Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Ole Miss Rebels prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Rebels a 20.5-point favorite at home, with a 89% chance to win. The model total is 54. Ratings: Rebels 1697 (14th of 138), Bulldogs 1459 (83rd). The Rebels have won 3 of their last 5; the Bulldogs 0 of their last 5. The two have met 4 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Rebels won 3, the Bulldogs 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Vanderbilt Commodores | L 23–25 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Texas Longhorns | L 3–31 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Oklahoma Sooners | L 15–23 | – | – | matchup | |
| at LSU Tigers | L 0–31 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Alabama Crimson Tide | L 23–56 | – | – | matchup |
Ole Miss Rebels
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Georgia Bulldogs | L 7–42 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Auburn Tigers | W 45–15 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Texas Longhorns | L 27–34 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Missouri Tigers | W 31–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Vanderbilt Commodores | W 52–17 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ole Miss Rebels at Mississippi State Bulldogs | 38–19 | – | – | matchup | |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs at Ole Miss Rebels | 14–26 | – | – | matchup | |
| Ole Miss Rebels at Mississippi State Bulldogs | 17–7 | – | – | matchup | |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs at Ole Miss Rebels | 24–22 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Mississippi State Bulldogs: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Ole Miss Rebels: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Bulldogs– 13th · L5
- Bulldogs rating1459 83rd of 138, 9 games
- Rebels– 6th · L1
- Rebels rating1697 14th of 138, 9 games
More CFB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I FBS football · 13th · streak L5
No stances yet today on $MSST: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Mississippi State Bulldogs bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · 6th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $MISS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Ole Miss Rebels bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Mississippi State Bulldogs at Ole Miss Rebels
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · No venue coordinates stored for the home sidedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · No forecast stored before kickoffforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Ole Miss 89% to win. Projected score Ole Miss 37, Mississippi State 17; spread Ole Miss −20.5, total 54. Mississippi State Bulldogs at Ole Miss Rebels, Fri, Nov 27, 12:00 PM ET.