Michigan Wolverines vs Ohio State Buckeyes prediction, odds and picks, November 28, 2026
Michigan at Ohio State: Bandwagon's model makes Ohio State an 83% favorite (Ohio State −15.5).
Michigan Wolverines vs Ohio State Buckeyes odds and win probability
Axle gives Ohio State a 83% chance to win, by about 16 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Ohio State
All CFB ratings| MICH | OSU | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1572 43rd of 138 | 1740 9th of 138 |
| Last 5 games | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 3 | 1 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results and home advantage; last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | OSU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 11:52 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:52 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:43 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 83% | — |
Michigan Wolverines vs Ohio State Buckeyes prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Buckeyes a 15.5-point favorite at home, with a 83% chance to win. The model total is 48.5. Ratings: Buckeyes 1740 (9th of 138), Wolverines 1572 (43rd). The Buckeyes have won 3 of their last 5; the Wolverines 2 of their last 5. The two have met 4 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Buckeyes won 1, the Wolverines 3.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Michigan Wolverines
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Michigan State Spartans | L 6–15 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Rutgers Scarlet Knights | W 28–21 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Indiana Hoosiers | L 6–13 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Penn State Nittany Lions | W 21–18 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Minnesota Golden Gophers | L 14–20 | – | – | matchup |
Ohio State Buckeyes
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Oregon Ducks | L 28–41 | – | – | matchup | |
| at USC Trojans | L 18–30 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Indiana Hoosiers | W 19–15 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Maryland Terrapins | W 45–16 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Iowa Hawkeyes | W 31–14 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio State Buckeyes at Michigan Wolverines | 27–9 | – | – | matchup | |
| Michigan Wolverines at Ohio State Buckeyes | 13–10 | – | – | matchup | |
| Ohio State Buckeyes at Michigan Wolverines | 24–30 | – | – | matchup | |
| Michigan Wolverines at Ohio State Buckeyes | 45–23 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Michigan Wolverines: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Ohio State Buckeyes: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Wolverines– 13th · L1
- Wolverines rating1572 43rd of 138, 9 games
- Buckeyes– 6th · L2
- Buckeyes rating1740 9th of 138, 9 games
More CFB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I FBS football · 13th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $MICH: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Michigan Wolverines bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · 6th · streak L2
No stances yet today on $OSU: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Ohio State Buckeyes bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Michigan Wolverines at Ohio State Buckeyes
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · A previous venue or its coordinates is not storeddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · No forecast stored before kickoffforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Ohio State 83% to win. Projected score Ohio State 32, Michigan 16; spread Ohio State −15.5, total 48.5. Michigan Wolverines at Ohio State Buckeyes, Sat, Nov 28, 12:00 PM ET.