Miami (OH) RedHawks vs Western Michigan Broncos prediction market odds: Kalshi, Polymarket and the Bandwagon model
Miami (OH) at Western Michigan: Bandwagon's model makes Western Michigan a 73% favorite (Western Michigan −10).
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs Western Michigan Broncos model odds and win probability
Axle gives Western Michigan a 73% chance to win, by about 10 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Axle versus the markets and the crowd
Every CFB marketEach bar is the chance that Western Michigan win. The thin blue mark is Axle's 73%.
The largest gap is 23 points: Axle has Western Michigan at 73%, Polymarket at 50%.
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Hop on a side before kickoff
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Why Axle has Western Michigan
All CFB ratings| M-OH | WMU | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1438 88th of 138 | 1561 49th of 138 |
| Last 5 games | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W1 | W2 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 2 | 2 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results and home advantage; last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | WMU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 11:52 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:52 PM ET | 73% | −6 |
| Nov 10, 10:43 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:08 PM ET | 79% | +1 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 78% | — |
Miami (OH) vs Western Michigan odds on Polymarket
Every College football marketPolymarket prices Broncos at 50%, and Axle 2.0 gives them 73%.
Prices read: Polymarket ; Axle 2.0 .
| Source | M-OH | WMU | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 50% | 50% | ||
| Bandwagon model | 27% | 73% | · model 2.0 |
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs Western Michigan Broncos prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Broncos a 10-point favorite at home, with a 73% chance to win. The model total is 51. Ratings: Broncos 1561 (49th of 138), RedHawks 1438 (88th). The Broncos have won 4 of their last 5; the RedHawks 4 of their last 5. The two have met 4 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Broncos won 2, the RedHawks 2.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Miami (OH) RedHawks
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Ohio Bobcats | W 34–17 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Buffalo Bulls | L 31–34 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Central Michigan Chippewas | W 28–27 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Akron Zips | W 34–14 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Massachusetts Minutemen | W 20–19 | – | – | matchup |
Western Michigan Broncos
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Akron Zips | W 42–14 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Bowling Green Falcons | W 23–10 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Toledo Rockets | L 38–45 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Central Michigan Chippewas | W 21–14 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Kent State Golden Flashes | W 38–7 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami (OH) RedHawks at Western Michigan Broncos | 13–23 | – | – | matchup | |
| Western Michigan Broncos at Miami (OH) RedHawks | 17–26 | – | – | matchup | |
| Miami (OH) RedHawks at Western Michigan Broncos | 34–21 | – | – | matchup | |
| Western Michigan Broncos at Miami (OH) RedHawks | 16–10 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Miami (OH) RedHawks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Western Michigan Broncos: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- RedHawks– 5th · W1
- RedHawks rating1438 88th of 138, 8 games
- Broncos– 3rd · W2
- Broncos rating1561 49th of 138, 8 games
More CFB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I FBS football · 5th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $MOH: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Miami (OH) RedHawks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · 3rd · streak W2
No stances yet today on $WMU: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Western Michigan Broncos bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Miami (OH) RedHawks at Western Michigan Broncos
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:31 PM UTC
- Weather in the data, not usedforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts · read Nov 11, 6:11 AM UTC
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Western Michigan 73% to win. Projected score Western Michigan 31, Miami (OH) 20; spread Western Michigan −10, total 51. Polymarket 50% for Western Michigan. Miami (OH) RedHawks at Western Michigan Broncos, Tue, Nov 24, 12:00 AM ET.