Kansas State Wildcats vs Iowa State Cyclones prediction, odds and picks, November 27, 2026
Kansas State at Iowa State: Bandwagon's model makes Iowa State a 69% favorite (Iowa State −8).
Kansas State Wildcats vs Iowa State Cyclones odds and win probability
Axle gives Iowa State a 69% chance to win, by about 8 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Hop on a side before kickoff
Pick a side, then say why in a take. Change it any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Why Axle has Iowa State
All CFB ratings| KSU | ISU | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1447 85th of 138 | 1504 66th of 138 |
| Last 5 games | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 1 | 3 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results and home advantage; last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | ISU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 11:52 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:52 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:43 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 69% | — |
Kansas State Wildcats vs Iowa State Cyclones prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Cyclones a 8-point favorite at home, with a 69% chance to win. The model total is 56. Ratings: Cyclones 1504 (66th of 138), Wildcats 1447 (85th). The Cyclones have won 2 of their last 5; the Wildcats 1 of their last 5. The two have met 4 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Cyclones won 3, the Wildcats 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Kansas State Wildcats
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Oklahoma State Cowboys | L 28–66 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Colorado Buffaloes | L 24–27 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Arizona State Sun Devils | L 17–28 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Kansas Jayhawks | W 35–24 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Houston Cougars | L 16–35 | – | – | matchup |
Iowa State Cyclones
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Baylor Bears | L 31–42 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Oklahoma State Cowboys | W 51–49 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Arizona Wildcats | L 3–39 | – | – | matchup | |
| at BYU Cougars | L 10–24 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs West Virginia Mountaineers | W 45–42 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa State Cyclones at Kansas State Wildcats | 24–21 | – | – | matchup | |
| Kansas State Wildcats at Iowa State Cyclones | 21–29 | – | – | matchup | |
| Iowa State Cyclones at Kansas State Wildcats | 42–35 | – | – | matchup | |
| Kansas State Wildcats at Iowa State Cyclones | 10–9 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Kansas State Wildcats: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Iowa State Cyclones: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Wildcats– 14th · L3
- Wildcats rating1447 85th of 138, 8 games
- Cyclones– 12th · L1
- Cyclones rating1504 66th of 138, 8 games
More CFB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I FBS football · 14th · streak L3
No stances yet today on $KSU: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Kansas State Wildcats bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · 12th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $ISU: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Iowa State Cyclones bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Kansas State Wildcats at Iowa State Cyclones
Sign in to post a take on $KSUISU261128: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.
How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · No venue coordinates stored for the home sidedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · No forecast stored before kickoffforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Iowa State 69% to win. Projected score Iowa State 32, Kansas State 24; spread Iowa State −8, total 56. Kansas State Wildcats at Iowa State Cyclones, Sat, Nov 28, 12:00 AM ET.