Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors vs Nevada Wolf Pack prediction, odds and picks, November 20, 2026
- Projected winnerNevada 63%
- Projected scoreNevada 27, Hawai'i 22
- Model spreadNevada −5 total 49.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors or Nevada Wolf Pack: the bandwagon
Axle 37–63Market –
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors at Nevada Wolf Pack win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors vs Nevada Wolf Pack live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors vs Nevada Wolf Pack team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | HAW | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| Score | HAW– | NEV– |
| Average win probability | HAW– | NEV– |
| Longest scoring run | HAW– | NEV– |
| Time leading | HAW– | NEV– |
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors vs Nevada Wolf Pack odds
Every stored line
| Stored | NEV win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 11:55 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:02 AM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 63% | — |
- Ratings
- NEV 1412 · HAW 1395
- Home spread
- −5
- Stored
- Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:31 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · No forecast stored before kickoffforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors vs Nevada Wolf Pack prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Wolf Pack a 5-point favorite at home, with a 63% chance to win. The model total is 49.5. Ratings: Wolf Pack 1412 (98th of 138), Rainbow Warriors 1395 (104th). The Wolf Pack have won 2 of their last 5; the Rainbow Warriors 1 of their last 5. The two have met 3 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Wolf Pack won 0, the Rainbow Warriors 3.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Northern Illinois Huskies | W 56–21 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs New Mexico Lobos | L 10–21 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Arizona State Sun Devils | L 12–30 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs San José State Spartans | L 16–20 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Wyoming Cowboys | L 10–27 | – | – | matchup |
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at UCLA Bruins | L 0–27 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs San José State Spartans | W 28–13 | – | – | matchup | |
| at North Dakota State Bison | L 17–31 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UTEP Miners | W 30–13 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Air Force Falcons | L 33–36 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevada Wolf Pack at Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors | 13–34 | – | – | matchup | |
| Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors at Nevada Wolf Pack | 27–14 | – | – | matchup | |
| Nevada Wolf Pack at Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors | 16–31 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Nevada Wolf Pack: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Rainbow Warriors– 8th · W1
- Rainbow Warriors rating1395 104th of 138, 8 games
- Wolf Pack– 7th · L1
- Wolf Pack rating1412 98th of 138, 7 games
NCAA Division I FBS football · 8th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $HAW: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · 7th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $NEV: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Nevada Wolf Pack bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors at Nevada Wolf Pack
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Model: Nevada 63% to win. Projected score Nevada 27, Hawai'i 22; spread Nevada −5, total 49.5. Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors at Nevada Wolf Pack, Sat, Nov 21, 12:00 AM ET.