Cincinnati Bearcats vs BYU Cougars prediction, odds and picks, November 27, 2026
Cincinnati at BYU: Bandwagon's model makes BYU an 84% favorite (BYU −16.5).
Cincinnati Bearcats vs BYU Cougars odds and win probability
Axle gives BYU a 84% chance to win, by about 16 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has BYU
All CFB ratings| CIN | BYU | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1507 64th of 138 | 1688 16th of 138 |
| Last 5 games | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 0 | 2 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results and home advantage; last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | BYU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 11:52 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:52 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:43 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 84% | — |
Cincinnati Bearcats vs BYU Cougars prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Cougars a 16.5-point favorite at home, with a 84% chance to win. The model total is 54. Ratings: Cougars 1688 (16th of 138), Bearcats 1507 (64th). The Cougars have won 3 of their last 5; the Bearcats 1 of their last 5. The two have met 2 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Cougars won 2, the Bearcats 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Houston Cougars | L 24–31 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Utah Utes | L 25–49 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Texas Tech Red Raiders | W 37–24 | – | – | matchup | |
| at West Virginia Mountaineers | L 42–45 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Arizona Wildcats | L 7–34 | – | – | matchup |
BYU Cougars
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Utah Utes | L 20–28 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Arizona State Sun Devils | W 27–20 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UCF Knights | L 31–39 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish | W 28–24 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Iowa State Cyclones | W 24–10 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BYU Cougars at Cincinnati Bearcats | 26–14 | – | – | matchup | |
| Cincinnati Bearcats at BYU Cougars | 27–35 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Cincinnati Bearcats: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
BYU Cougars: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Bearcats– 11th · L2
- Bearcats rating1507 64th of 138, 8 games
- Cougars– 3rd · L1
- Cougars rating1688 16th of 138, 8 games
More CFB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I FBS football · 11th · streak L2
No stances yet today on $CIN: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Cincinnati Bearcats bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · 3rd · streak L1
No stances yet today on $BYU: the share of the crowd ▲ on the BYU Cougars bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Cincinnati Bearcats at BYU Cougars
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · A previous venue or its coordinates is not storeddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · No forecast stored before kickoffforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.