Arizona State Sun Devils vs Arizona Wildcats prediction, odds and picks, November 27, 2026
Arizona State at Arizona: Bandwagon's model makes Arizona a 78% favorite (Arizona −12.5).
Arizona State Sun Devils vs Arizona Wildcats odds and win probability
Axle gives Arizona a 78% chance to win, by about 13 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Hop on a side before kickoff
Pick a side, then say why in a take. Change it any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Why Axle has Arizona
All CFB ratings| ASU | ARIZ | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1533 57th of 138 | 1660 22nd of 138 |
| Last 5 games | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W1 | W1 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 1 | 3 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results and home advantage; last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | ARIZ win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 11:52 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:52 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:43 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 78% | — |
Arizona State Sun Devils vs Arizona Wildcats prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Wildcats a 12.5-point favorite at home, with a 78% chance to win. The model total is 54. Ratings: Wildcats 1660 (22nd of 138), Sun Devils 1533 (57th). The Wildcats have won 4 of their last 5; the Sun Devils 3 of their last 5. The two have met 4 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Wildcats won 3, the Sun Devils 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Arizona State Sun Devils
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Colorado Buffaloes | W 20–10 | – | – | matchup | |
| at BYU Cougars | L 20–27 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Kansas State Wildcats | W 28–17 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Texas Tech Red Raiders | L 25–53 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors | W 30–12 | – | – | matchup |
Arizona Wildcats
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs TCU Horned Frogs | W 29–28 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Texas Tech Red Raiders | L 26–34 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Iowa State Cyclones | W 39–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| at West Virginia Mountaineers | W 52–31 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Cincinnati Bearcats | W 34–7 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Wildcats at Arizona State Sun Devils | 23–7 | – | – | matchup | |
| Arizona State Sun Devils at Arizona Wildcats | 49–7 | – | – | matchup | |
| Arizona Wildcats at Arizona State Sun Devils | 59–23 | – | – | matchup | |
| Arizona State Sun Devils at Arizona Wildcats | 35–38 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Arizona State Sun Devils: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Arizona Wildcats: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Sun Devils– 8th · W1
- Sun Devils rating1533 57th of 138, 8 games
- Wildcats– 5th · W1
- Wildcats rating1660 22nd of 138, 8 games
More CFB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I FBS football · 8th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $ASU: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Arizona State Sun Devils bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · 5th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $ARIZ: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Arizona Wildcats bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Arizona State Sun Devils at Arizona Wildcats
Sign in to post a take on $ASUARIZ261128: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.
How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · No venue coordinates stored for the home sidedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · No forecast stored before kickoffforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Arizona 78% to win. Projected score Arizona 33, Arizona State 21; spread Arizona −12.5, total 54. Arizona State Sun Devils at Arizona Wildcats, Sat, Nov 28, 12:00 AM ET.