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NCAA Men's Basketball · · Charles Koch Arena · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line

USC Trojans vs Wichita State Shockers prediction, odds and picks, November 8, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

USC Trojans or Wichita State Shockers: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

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Axle 35–65Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: WICH 65%
Record 1-0
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Game clock
KickoffSunday, November 8 at 11:00 PM ET
Situation
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Possession
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USC Trojans at Wichita State Shockers win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

USC Trojans vs Wichita State Shockers live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

USC Trojans vs Wichita State Shockers team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatUSCWICH
ScoreUSC–WICH–
Average win probabilityUSC–WICH–
Longest scoring runUSC–WICH–
Time leadingUSC–WICH–

USC Trojans vs Wichita State Shockers odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 4, 11:01 PM ET
Trojans35%
Win chance
Shockers65%
SpreadWICH −5.5
Total146.5
Moneyline+187away / −187homeaway / home
Line movementWICH win chance, 32 stored lines
+15 pts for WICH since Oct 29
71%45%
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET: WICH 50%Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET: WICH 62%Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET: WICH 62%Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: WICH 62%Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: WICH 66%Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET: WICH 66%Nov 2, 2:05 AM ET: WICH 66%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: WICH 66%Nov 2, 5:25 AM ET: WICH 66%Nov 2, 8:05 AM ET: WICH 66%Nov 2, 1:55 PM ET: WICH 66%Nov 2, 4:48 PM ET: WICH 66%Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET: WICH 66%Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET: WICH 66%Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET: WICH 66%Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET: WICH 66%Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET: WICH 66%Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET: WICH 66%Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET: WICH 66%Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET: WICH 66%Nov 2, 10:27 PM ET: WICH 66%Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET: WICH 66%Nov 2, 10:59 PM ET: WICH 66%Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET: WICH 66%Nov 3, 12:24 AM ET: WICH 64%Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET: WICH 64%Nov 3, 12:39 AM ET: WICH 64%Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET: WICH 64%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: WICH 64%Nov 4, 9:40 PM ET: WICH 65%Nov 4, 11:01 PM ET: WICH 65%Nov 4, 11:01 PM ET: WICH 65%
Oct 29Nov 1Now
Every stored line
StoredWICH winMove
Nov 4, 11:01 PM ET65%0
Nov 4, 11:01 PM ET65%0
Nov 4, 9:40 PM ET65%+1
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET64%0
Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET64%0
Nov 3, 12:39 AM ET64%0
Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET64%0
Nov 3, 12:24 AM ET64%−2
Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET66%0
Nov 2, 10:59 PM ET66%0
Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET66%0
Nov 2, 10:27 PM ET66%0
Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET66%0
Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET66%0
Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET66%0
Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET66%0
Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET66%0
Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET66%0
Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET66%0
Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET66%0
Nov 2, 4:48 PM ET66%0
Nov 2, 1:55 PM ET66%0
Nov 2, 8:05 AM ET66%0
Nov 2, 5:25 AM ET66%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET66%0
Nov 2, 2:05 AM ET66%0
Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET66%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET66%+4
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET62%0
Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET62%0
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET62%+12
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET50%—
Ratings
WICH 1603 · USC 1520
Home spread
−5.5 · neutral site, no home advantage
Stored
Nov 4, 11:01 PM ET · 2026-11-05 04:01 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage used · none: neutral sitethe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · Neutral sitedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

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TrojansShockers
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Shockers–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

USC Trojans vs Wichita State Shockers prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Shockers a 5.5-point favorite, with a 65% chance to win. The model total is 146.5. Ratings: Shockers 1594 (52nd of 361), Trojans 1520 (142nd). The Shockers are 0-0; the Trojans are 1-0. The Shockers have won 3 of their last 5; the Trojans 1 of their last 5.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

USC Trojans

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Milwaukee PanthersW 95–63––matchup
at Washington HuskiesL 79–83––matchup
vs UCLA BruinsL 68–89––matchup
at Washington HuskiesL 72–91––matchup
vs Nebraska CornhuskersL 67–82––matchup

Wichita State Shockers

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Cal State Northridge MatadorsW 79–67––matchup
at Tulsa Golden HurricaneL 79–83––matchup
at Oklahoma State CowboysW 96–70––matchup
vs Wyoming CowboysW 74–70––matchup
at South Florida BullsL 55–70––matchup

Head-to-head

No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.

Injuries

USC Trojans: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Wichita State Shockers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Trojans1-0 13th · W1
  • Trojans rating1520 142nd of 361, 1 games
  • Shockers0-0 12th · -
  • Shockers rating1594 52nd of 361, 0 games

USC Trojans 1-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 13th · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $USCMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $USCMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $USCMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $USCMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the USC Trojans bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Trojans roster, schedule and more

Wichita State Shockers 0-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 12th · streak -

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $WICHMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $WICHMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $WICHMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $WICHMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Wichita State Shockers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Shockers roster, schedule and more

Takes on USC Trojans at Wichita State Shockers

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Model: Wichita State 65% to win. Projected score Wichita State 76, USC 71; spread Wichita State −5.5, total 146.5. USC Trojans at Wichita State Shockers, Sun, Nov 8, 11:00 PM ET.