UC Riverside Highlanders vs San José State Spartans prediction, odds and picks, November 12, 2026
- Projected winnerSan José State 65%
- Projected scoreSan José State 75, UC Riverside 70
- Model spreadSan José State −5.5 total 145.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
UC Riverside Highlanders or San José State Spartans: the bandwagon
Axle 35–65Market –
UC Riverside Highlanders at San José State Spartans win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
UC Riverside Highlanders vs San José State Spartans live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
UC Riverside Highlanders vs San José State Spartans team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | UCR | SJSU |
|---|---|---|
| Score | UCR– | SJSU– |
| Average win probability | UCR– | SJSU– |
| Longest scoring run | UCR– | SJSU– |
| Time leading | UCR– | SJSU– |
UC Riverside Highlanders vs San José State Spartans odds
Every stored line
| Stored | SJSU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:23 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 8:03 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:10 AM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:40 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:14 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:59 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:56 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:07 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:08 PM ET | 65% | +2 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 63% | — |
- Ratings
- SJSU 1430 · UCR 1431
- Home spread
- −5.5
- Stored
- Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
UC Riverside Highlanders vs San José State Spartans prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Spartans a 5.5-point favorite at home, with a 65% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Spartans 1430 (277th of 361), Highlanders 1431 (275th). The Spartans are 1-0; the Highlanders are 1-0. The Spartans have won 2 of their last 5; the Highlanders 2 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors | L 74–93 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Cal State Northridge Matadors | W 95–84 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | L 59–70 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UC Davis Aggies | L 73–78 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners | W 93–65 | – | – | matchup |
San José State Spartans
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs UTSA Roadrunners | W 95–74 | – | – | matchup | |
| at New Mexico Lobos | L 77–93 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Boise State Broncos | W 84–74 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Wyoming Cowboys | L 78–88 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Fresno State Bulldogs | L 68–82 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
UC Riverside Highlanders: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
San José State Spartans: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Highlanders1-0 4th · W1
- Highlanders rating1431 275th of 361, 0 games
- Spartans1-0 5th · W1
- Spartans rating1430 277th of 361, 1 games
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 4th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $UCRMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the UC Riverside Highlanders bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 5th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $SJSUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the San José State Spartans bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
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Model: San José State 65% to win. Projected score San José State 75, UC Riverside 70; spread San José State −5.5, total 145.5. UC Riverside Highlanders at San José State Spartans, Thu, Nov 12, 10:00 PM ET.