Pacific Tigers vs Long Beach State Beach prediction, odds and picks, November 11, 2026
- Projected winnerLong Beach State 54%
- Projected scoreLong Beach State 74, Pacific 72
- Model spreadLong Beach State −2.5 total 145.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Pacific Tigers or Long Beach State Beach: the bandwagon
Axle 46–54Market –
Pacific Tigers at Long Beach State Beach win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Pacific Tigers vs Long Beach State Beach live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Pacific Tigers vs Long Beach State Beach team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | PAC | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| Score | PAC– | LBSU– |
| Average win probability | PAC– | LBSU– |
| Longest scoring run | PAC– | LBSU– |
| Time leading | PAC– | LBSU– |
Pacific Tigers vs Long Beach State Beach odds
Every stored line
| Stored | LBSU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 10:16 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 10:16 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:03 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:13 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:05 AM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET | 54% | −1 |
| Nov 2, 10:59 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:16 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:58 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 55% | +3 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 52% | −13 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 65% | — |
- Ratings
- LBSU 1409 · PAC 1486
- Home spread
- −2.5
- Stored
- Nov 4, 10:16 PM ET · 2026-11-05 03:16 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Pacific Tigers vs Long Beach State Beach prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Beach a 2.5-point favorite at home, with a 54% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Beach 1409 (309th of 361), Tigers 1486 (201st). The Beach are 0-1; the Tigers are 1-0. The Beach have won 2 of their last 5; the Tigers 1 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Beach won 0, the Tigers 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Pacific Tigers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Santa Clara Broncos | L 68–76 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Seattle U Redhawks | W 61–58 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs San Francisco Dons | L 61–72 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Gonzaga Bulldogs | L 62–71 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Washington State Cougars | L 70–87 | – | – | matchup |
Long Beach State Beach
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Utah Utes | L 63–66 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors | W 84–75 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UC Davis Aggies | L 70–76 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners | W 88–87 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Cal Poly Mustangs | L 92–102 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Long Beach State Beach at Pacific Tigers | 66–69 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Pacific Tigers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Long Beach State Beach: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Tigers1-0 1st · W1
- Tigers rating1486 201st of 361, 0 games
- Beach0-1 11th · L1
- Beach rating1409 309th of 361, 1 games
Pacific Tigers 1-0
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 1st · streak W1
No stances yet today on $PACMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Pacific Tigers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 11th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $LBSUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Long Beach State Beach bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Pacific Tigers at Long Beach State Beach
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Model: Long Beach State 54% to win. Projected score Long Beach State 74, Pacific 72; spread Long Beach State −2.5, total 145.5. Pacific Tigers at Long Beach State Beach, Wed, Nov 11, 10:00 PM ET.