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NCAA Men's Basketball · · Bernard Johnson Coliseum · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line

Missouri State Bears vs Sam Houston Bearkats: final score and how the prediction did, February 28, 2026

Missouri State Bears or Sam Houston Bearkats: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

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Final
Record 1-0
8186
Record 0-1
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
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Missouri State Bears at Sam Houston Bearkats win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

Bandwagon reads a game's box score only while it is on or just ended, so no in-game series was stored for this one.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Needs two stored points.
Big swing–Needs two stored points.
Clutch window–Needs two stored points.
Baseline–Needs two stored points.

Missouri State Bears vs Sam Houston Bearkats live stats

From the league's public game summary

No box score stored for this game.

Missouri State Bears vs Sam Houston Bearkats team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatMOSTSHSU
ScoreMOST81SHSU86
Average win probabilityMOST–SHSU–
Longest scoring runMOST–SHSU–
Time leadingMOST–SHSU–

Missouri State Bears vs Sam Houston Bearkats odds

Bandwagon model
Spread—
Total—
Moneyline—

No model line for this game yet; it finished before the model covered it.

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

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BearsBearkats
Neutrals only–
BearsBearkats
Picks locked at kickoff.
Bandwagon minus model, Bearkats–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Missouri State Bears vs Sam Houston Bearkats prediction

Ratings: Bearkats 1536 (116th of 361), Bears 1468 (229th). The Bearkats are 0-1; the Bears are 1-0. The Bearkats have won 1 of their last 5; the Bears 3 of their last 5. The two have met 2 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Bearkats won 1, the Bears 1.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Missouri State Bears

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Louisiana Tech BulldogsL 66–69––matchup
at Liberty FlamesW 77–69––matchup
at Florida International PanthersW 75–72––matchup
vs Middle Tennessee Blue RaidersL 63–75––matchup
vs Western Kentucky HilltoppersW 87–74––matchup

Sam Houston Bearkats

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Alabama Crimson TideL 74–96––matchup
at New Mexico LobosL 83–107––matchup
vs Kennesaw State OwlsL 73–79––matchup
vs New Mexico State AggiesW 69–61––matchup
at Liberty FlamesL 72–79––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
Sam Houston Bearkats at Missouri State Bears80–71––matchup
Sam Houston Bearkats at Missouri State Bears60–69––matchup

Injuries

Missouri State Bears: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Sam Houston Bearkats: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Bears1-0 6th · W1
  • Bears rating1468 229th of 361, 0 games
  • Bearkats0-1 10th · L1
  • Bearkats rating1536 116th of 361, 1 games

Missouri State Bears 1-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 6th · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $MOSTMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $MOSTMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $MOSTMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $MOSTMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Missouri State Bears bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Bears roster, schedule and more

Sam Houston Bearkats 0-1

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 10th · streak L1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $SHSUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $SHSUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $SHSUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $SHSUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Sam Houston Bearkats bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Bearkats roster, schedule and more

Takes on Missouri State Bears at Sam Houston Bearkats

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Final: Missouri State 81, Sam Houston 86. Missouri State Bears at Sam Houston Bearkats at Bernard Johnson Coliseum: form, head-to-head and the crowd's pick.