Jacksonville Dolphins vs Florida Gators prediction, odds and picks, November 5, 2026
- Projected winnerFlorida 91%
- Projected scoreFlorida 81, Jacksonville 65
- Model spreadFlorida −16 total 145.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Jacksonville Dolphins or Florida Gators: the bandwagon
Axle 9–91Market –
Jacksonville Dolphins at Florida Gators win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Jacksonville Dolphins vs Florida Gators live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Jacksonville Dolphins vs Florida Gators team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | JAX | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Score | JAX– | FLA– |
| Average win probability | JAX– | FLA– |
| Longest scoring run | JAX– | FLA– |
| Time leading | JAX– | FLA– |
Jacksonville Dolphins vs Florida Gators odds
Every stored line
| Stored | FLA win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 11:01 PM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 11:01 PM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 9:40 PM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 9:25 PM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 12:25 AM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 12:20 AM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:23 PM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:13 PM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:48 PM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:33 PM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 8:03 PM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:24 AM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:19 AM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:10 AM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:55 PM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:14 PM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:59 PM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:51 PM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:46 PM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:07 PM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET | 91% | +1 |
| Nov 2, 8:41 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:31 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:16 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 90% | −4 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 94% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 94% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 94% | +29 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 65% | — |
- Ratings
- FLA 1723 · JAX 1447
- Home spread
- −16
- Stored
- Nov 4, 11:01 PM ET · 2026-11-05 04:01 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · A previous venue or its coordinates is not storeddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Jacksonville Dolphins vs Florida Gators prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Gators a 16-point favorite at home, with a 91% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Gators 1723 (4th of 361), Dolphins 1447 (259th). The Gators are 1-0; the Dolphins are 1-0. The Gators have won 3 of their last 5; the Dolphins 2 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Gators won 1, the Dolphins 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Jacksonville Dolphins
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Bellarmine Knights | L 79–82 | – | – | matchup | |
| at North Florida Ospreys | W 85–61 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Stetson Hatters | W 89–85 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Austin Peay Governors | L 61–65 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | L 84–86 | – | – | matchup |
Florida Gators
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Miami Hurricanes | W 77–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Iowa Hawkeyes | L 72–73 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Prairie View A&M Panthers | W 114–55 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Vanderbilt Commodores | L 74–91 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Kentucky Wildcats | W 71–63 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville Dolphins at Florida Gators | 60–81 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Jacksonville Dolphins: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Florida Gators: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Dolphins1-0 1st · W1
- Dolphins rating1447 259th of 361, 0 games
- Gators1-0 3rd · W1
- Gators rating1723 4th of 361, 1 games
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 1st · streak W1
No stances yet today on $JAXMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Jacksonville Dolphins bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Florida Gators 1-0
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 3rd · streak W1
No stances yet today on $FLAMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Florida Gators bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Jacksonville Dolphins at Florida Gators
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Model: Florida 91% to win. Projected score Florida 81, Jacksonville 65; spread Florida −16, total 145.5. Jacksonville Dolphins at Florida Gators, Thu, Nov 5, 8:00 PM ET.