Colorado Buffaloes vs Providence Friars prediction, odds and picks, November 14, 2026
- Projected winnerProvidence 63%
- Projected scoreProvidence 75, Colorado 70
- Model spreadProvidence −4.5 total 145.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Colorado Buffaloes or Providence Friars: the bandwagon
Axle 37–63Market –
Colorado Buffaloes at Providence Friars win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Colorado Buffaloes vs Providence Friars live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Colorado Buffaloes vs Providence Friars team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | COLO | PROV |
|---|---|---|
| Score | COLO– | PROV– |
| Average win probability | COLO– | PROV– |
| Longest scoring run | COLO– | PROV– |
| Time leading | COLO– | PROV– |
Colorado Buffaloes vs Providence Friars odds
Every stored line
| Stored | PROV win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 10:16 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 10:16 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 9:25 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:19 AM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:05 AM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:14 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET | 63% | −2 |
| Nov 2, 10:59 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:56 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:46 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 65% | +2 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 63% | — |
- Ratings
- PROV 1518 · COLO 1538
- Home spread
- −4.5
- Stored
- Nov 4, 10:16 PM ET · 2026-11-05 03:16 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Colorado Buffaloes vs Providence Friars prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Friars a 4.5-point favorite at home, with a 63% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Friars 1518 (143rd of 361), Buffaloes 1538 (111th). The Friars are 1-0; the Buffaloes are 1-0. The Friars have won 2 of their last 5; the Buffaloes 2 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Friars won 0, the Buffaloes 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Colorado Buffaloes
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Abilene Christian Wildcats | W 94–59 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Oklahoma Sooners | L 86–90 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Oklahoma State Cowboys | L 83–92 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Arizona Wildcats | L 79–89 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Utah Utes | W 92–78 | – | – | matchup |
Providence Friars
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Maine Black Bears | W 83–56 | – | – | matchup | |
| at St. John's Red Storm | L 72–85 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Butler Bulldogs | W 91–81 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Georgetown Hoyas | L 79–80 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Marquette Golden Eagles | L 56–78 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Providence Friars at Colorado Buffaloes | 88–97 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Colorado Buffaloes: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Providence Friars: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Buffaloes1-0 5th · W1
- Buffaloes rating1538 111th of 361, 1 games
- Friars1-0 6th · W1
- Friars rating1518 143rd of 361, 1 games
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 5th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $COLOMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Colorado Buffaloes bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 6th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $PROVMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Providence Friars bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Colorado Buffaloes at Providence Friars
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Model: Providence 63% to win. Projected score Providence 75, Colorado 70; spread Providence −4.5, total 145.5. Colorado Buffaloes at Providence Friars, Sat, Nov 14, 6:00 PM ET.