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Bundesliga · · WWK Arena · every Bundesliga line

Mainz vs FC Augsburg: final score and how the prediction did, September 20, 2025

Mainz or FC Augsburg: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

Be the first on the bandwagon

Axle no line yetMarket –

Final
Record 3-4-1
41
Record 2-3-3
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
–

Mainz at FC Augsburg win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0'45'90'
0%20%40%60%80%100%0'45'90'

Bandwagon reads a game's box score only while it is on or just ended, so no in-game series was stored for this one.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Needs two stored points.
Big swing–Needs two stored points.
Clutch window–Needs two stored points.
Baseline–Needs two stored points.

Mainz vs FC Augsburg live stats

From the league's public game summary

No box score stored for this game.

Mainz vs FC Augsburg team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatM05FCA
ScoreM054FCA1
Average win probabilityM05–FCA–
Longest scoring runM05–FCA–
Time leadingM05–FCA–

Mainz vs FC Augsburg odds

Bandwagon model
Spread—
Total—
Moneyline—

No model line for this game yet; it finished before the model covered it.

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

MainzFC Augsburg
Neutrals only–
MainzFC Augsburg
Picks locked at kickoff.
Bandwagon minus model, FC Augsburg–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Mainz vs FC Augsburg prediction

Ratings: FC Augsburg 1413 (10th of 18), Mainz 1399 (13th). The FC Augsburg are 2-3-3; the Mainz are 3-4-1. The FC Augsburg have won 0 of their last 5; the Mainz 2 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the FC Augsburg won 1, the Mainz 4.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Mainz

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at SV ElversbergL 1–4––matchup
vs Werder BremenL 2–3––matchup
at Schalke 04W 1–0––matchup
vs Bayer LeverkusenL 3–4––matchup
at Borussia MönchengladbachW 4–3––matchup

FC Augsburg

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs SC FreiburgL 1–2––matchup
vs 1. FC Union BerlinT 1–1––matchup
at SV ElversbergL 3–4––matchup
vs Bayern MunichT 2–2––matchup
at Werder BremenL 2–3––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
FC Augsburg at Mainz0–2––matchup
FC Augsburg at Mainz0–0––matchup
Mainz at FC Augsburg3–2––matchup
FC Augsburg at Mainz0–1––matchup
Mainz at FC Augsburg1–2––matchup
FC Augsburg at Mainz1–3––matchup

Injuries

Mainz: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

FC Augsburg: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Mainz3-4-1 9th
  • Mainz rating1399 13th of 18, 8 games
  • FC Augsburg2-3-3 10th
  • FC Augsburg rating1413 10th of 18, 8 games

Mainz 3-4-1

Bundesliga · 9th

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $MAINZ
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $MAINZ
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $MAINZ
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $MAINZ: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Mainz bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Mainz roster, schedule and more

FC Augsburg 2-3-3

Bundesliga · 10th

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $AUGSBURG
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $AUGSBURG
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $AUGSBURG
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $AUGSBURG: the share of the crowd ▲ on the FC Augsburg bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

FC Augsburg roster, schedule and more

Takes on Mainz at FC Augsburg

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