Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs Western Michigan Broncos prediction, odds and picks, November 10, 2026
- Projected winnerPurdue Fort Wayne 62%
- Projected scorePurdue Fort Wayne 66, Western Michigan 65
- Model spreadPurdue Fort Wayne −0.5 total 130.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons or Western Michigan Broncos: the bandwagon
Axle 62–38Market –
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons at Western Michigan Broncos win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs Western Michigan Broncos live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs Western Michigan Broncos team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | PFW | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| Score | PFW– | WMU– |
| Average win probability | PFW– | WMU– |
| Longest scoring run | PFW– | WMU– |
| Time leading | PFW– | WMU– |
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs Western Michigan Broncos odds
Every stored line
| Stored | WMU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 11:01 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 11:01 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 9:45 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 9:15 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 7:49 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:58 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:38 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:28 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:34 AM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:55 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:18 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:26 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET | 38% | +5 |
| Nov 2, 8:36 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:06 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:01 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:12 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 4:58 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:47 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 2:36 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 2:20 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:16 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:11 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:01 PM ET | 33% | −4 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 37% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 2:23 PM ET | 37% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 37% | +5 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 32% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 32% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 32% | −31 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 63% | — |
- Ratings
- WMU 1389 · PFW 1515
- Home spread
- +0.5
- Stored
- Nov 4, 11:01 PM ET · 2026-11-05 04:01 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs Western Michigan Broncos prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Mastodons a 0.5-point favorite, with a 62% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Broncos 1389 (288th of 356), Mastodons 1515 (155th). The Broncos are 0-1; the Mastodons are 0-1. The Broncos have won 1 of their last 5; the Mastodons 2 of their last 5. The two have met 2 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Broncos won 1, the Mastodons 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Xavier Musketeers | L 63–75 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Arkansas State Red Wolves | L 72–83 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs South Alabama Jaguars | W 77–72 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Green Bay Phoenix | L 48–73 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs IU Indianapolis Jaguars | W 85–49 | – | – | matchup |
Western Michigan Broncos
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | L 54–68 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Kent State Golden Flashes | L 60–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Toledo Rockets | L 49–56 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Massachusetts Minutewomen | L 48–64 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Buffalo Bulls | W 58–43 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Western Michigan Broncos at Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 75–83 | – | – | matchup | |
| Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons at Western Michigan Broncos | 76–78 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Western Michigan Broncos: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Mastodons0-1 10th · L1
- Mastodons rating1515 155th of 356, 1 games
- Broncos0-1 12th · L1
- Broncos rating1389 288th of 356, 1 games
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 10th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $PFWWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 12th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $WMUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Western Michigan Broncos bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
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Model: Purdue Fort Wayne 62% to win. Projected score Purdue Fort Wayne 66, Western Michigan 65; spread Purdue Fort Wayne −0.5, total 130.5. Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons at Western Michigan Broncos, Tue, Nov 10, 7:00 PM ET.