Marshall Thundering Herd vs Duke Blue Devils prediction, odds and picks, November 15, 2026
- Projected winnerDuke 81%
- Projected scoreDuke 72, Marshall 60
- Model spreadDuke −12.5 total 132
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Marshall Thundering Herd or Duke Blue Devils: the bandwagon
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Axle 19–81Market –
Marshall Thundering Herd at Duke Blue Devils win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Marshall Thundering Herd vs Duke Blue Devils live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Marshall Thundering Herd vs Duke Blue Devils team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | MRSH | DUKE |
|---|---|---|
| Score | MRSH– | DUKE– |
| Average win probability | MRSH– | DUKE– |
| Longest scoring run | MRSH– | DUKE– |
| Time leading | MRSH– | DUKE– |
Marshall Thundering Herd vs Duke Blue Devils odds
Every stored line
| Stored | DUKE win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 11:01 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 11:01 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 10:06 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 8:05 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:13 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:03 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:38 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:23 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 8:58 PM ET | 81% | +1 |
| Nov 3, 8:48 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 8:28 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 7:58 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:19 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:03 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:58 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET | 80% | −1 |
| Nov 2, 8:01 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:51 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:12 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:58 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:17 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 2:05 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:06 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 81% | — |
- Ratings
- DUKE 1757 · MRSH 1631
- Home spread
- −12.5
- Stored
- Nov 4, 11:01 PM ET · 2026-11-05 04:01 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
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No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Marshall Thundering Herd vs Duke Blue Devils prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Blue Devils a 12.5-point favorite at home, with a 81% chance to win. The model total is 132. Ratings: Blue Devils 1757 (6th of 356), Thundering Herd 1631 (54th). The Blue Devils are 1-0; the Thundering Herd are 1-0. The Blue Devils have won 4 of their last 5; the Thundering Herd 5 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Marshall Thundering Herd
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Massachusetts Minutewomen | W 74–70 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Illinois State Redbirds | W 66–41 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Arkansas State Red Wolves | W 69–62 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Army Black Knights | W 82–65 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Youngstown State Penguins | W 72–46 | – | – | matchup |
Duke Blue Devils
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Green Bay Phoenix | W 76–60 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UCLA Bruins | L 58–70 | – | – | matchup | |
| at LSU Tigers | W 87–85 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Baylor Bears | W 69–46 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Charleston Cougars | W 81–64 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Marshall Thundering Herd: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Duke Blue Devils: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Thundering Herd1-0 5th · W1
- Thundering Herd rating1631 54th of 356, 1 games
- Blue Devils1-0 3rd · W1
- Blue Devils rating1757 6th of 356, 1 games
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 5th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $MRSHWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Marshall Thundering Herd bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Duke Blue Devils 1-0
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 3rd · streak W1
No stances yet today on $DUKEWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Duke Blue Devils bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Marshall Thundering Herd at Duke Blue Devils
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Model: Duke 81% to win. Projected score Duke 72, Marshall 60; spread Duke −12.5, total 132. Marshall Thundering Herd at Duke Blue Devils, Sun, Nov 15, 3:00 PM ET.