Marshall Thundering Herd lead Massachusetts Minutewomen 40-29 with 10:00 left in the 3rd. The model still gives Massachusetts a 55% chance, and no crowd picks are logged yet.
NCAA Women's Basketball · · William D. Mullins Memorial Center · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line
Marshall Thundering Herd vs Massachusetts Minutewomen: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreMarshall 74, Massachusetts 70 the projected winner lost
- Pregame Projected winnerMassachusetts 55%
- Pregame Projected scoreMassachusetts 67, Marshall 63
- Model spreadMassachusetts −4 total 130.5
- Margin4 projected 4
- Total144 projected 130.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Marshall Thundering Herd or Massachusetts Minutewomen: the bandwagon
Bandwagon
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Axle 45–55Market –
FinalPregame: MASS 55%Baseline: MASS 28.3% (−26.7)Big swing: 33.7 ptsClutch window: 9:40
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MRSH | 21 | 19 | 8 | 26 | 74 |
| MASS | 13 | 16 | 24 | 17 | 70 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
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Marshall Thundering Herd at Massachusetts Minutewomen win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumSwinging to MRSH−20.9 points for MASS over the last 5:00
Big swing33.7 ptstoward MRSH at 37:55 of game time
Clutch window9:40within 5 points in the final quarter
BaselineMASS 28.3%game average, −26.7 points from the pregame 55.0%
Marshall Thundering Herd vs Massachusetts Minutewomen live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | MRSH | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | MRSH27/57 | MASS26/70 |
| 3-pointers | MRSH6/21 | MASS7/22 |
| Free throws | MRSH14/19 | MASS11/19 |
| Rebounds | MRSH34 | MASS44 |
| Assists | MRSH14 | MASS15 |
| Turnovers | MRSH20 | MASS19 |
| Steals | MRSH13 | MASS9 |
| Blocks | MRSH6 | MASS2 |
| Points in the paint | MRSH38 | MASS28 |
| Fast-break points | MRSH18 | MASS6 |
| Fouls | MRSH20 | MASS21 |
| Largest lead | MRSH15 | MASS5 |
Marshall Thundering Herd vs Massachusetts Minutewomen team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | MRSH | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| Score | MRSH74 | MASS70 |
| Average win probability | MRSH72% | MASS28% |
| Longest scoring run | MRSH+9 | MASS+20 |
| Time leading | MRSH30:02 | MASS4:36 |
Marshall Thundering Herd vs Massachusetts Minutewomen odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 2, 8:06 PM ET
Thundering Herd45%
Win chanceMinutewomen55%
SpreadMASS −4closing model spread
Total130.5
Moneyline+122away / −122homeaway / home
Line movementMASS win chance, 15 stored lines
−8 pts for MASS between Oct 29 and Nov 2
69%47%
Oct 29Oct 31Nov 2
Every stored line
| Stored | MASS win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 8:06 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:06 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 2:36 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 2:05 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:46 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:16 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:11 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:01 PM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 55% | +2 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 53% | −10 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 63% | — |
- Ratings
- MASS 1578 · MRSH 1620
- Home spread
- −4
- Stored
- Nov 2, 8:06 PM ET · 2026-11-03 01:06 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Marshall Thundering Herd 74, Massachusetts Minutewomen 70. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
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Thundering HerdMinutewomen
Neutrals only–
Thundering HerdMinutewomen
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Minutewomen–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Marshall Thundering Herd vs Massachusetts Minutewomen prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Minutewomen a 4-point favorite at home, with a 55% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Minutewomen 1567 (106th of 356), Thundering Herd 1631 (55th). The Minutewomen are 0-1; the Thundering Herd are 1-0. The Minutewomen have won 3 of their last 5; the Thundering Herd 5 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Marshall Thundering Herd
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Massachusetts Minutewomen | W 74–70 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Illinois State Redbirds | W 66–41 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Arkansas State Red Wolves | W 69–62 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Army Black Knights | W 82–65 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Youngstown State Penguins | W 72–46 | – | – | matchup |
Massachusetts Minutewomen
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Marshall Thundering Herd | L 70–74 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Toledo Rockets | L 56–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Buffalo Bulls | W 73–55 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Akron Zips | W 74–64 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Western Michigan Broncos | W 64–48 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Marshall Thundering Herd: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Massachusetts Minutewomen: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Thundering Herd1-0 5th · W1
- Thundering Herd rating1631 55th of 356, 1 games
- Minutewomen0-1 10th · L1
- Minutewomen rating1567 106th of 356, 1 games
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 5th · streak W1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $MRSHWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $MRSHWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $MRSHWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $MRSHWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Marshall Thundering Herd bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 10th · streak L1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $MASSWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $MASSWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $MASSWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $MASSWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Massachusetts Minutewomen bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Marshall Thundering Herd at Massachusetts Minutewomen
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Final: Marshall 74, Massachusetts 70. Bandwagon's model had the Massachusetts at 55% and projected Massachusetts 67, Marshall 63; spread Massachusetts −4, total 130.5.